NFL Week 7 Bet Now or Bet Later: Jump On the Bears-Buccaneers Under As Soon As Possible

Tampa Bay's vaunted offense is getting plenty of respect with its opening Week 7 number but the NFL betting value for this game is with the Bucs stop unit and the Under highlighting the best Week 7 bets to make now... and which lines to hold off on.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Oct 17, 2021 • 21:51 ET • 4 min read

As we enter Week 7 of the NFL schedule, the shine has worn off many contenders while some surprises successes have bubbled up to the top of the power rankings.

With all that data stacking high and books sharpening their numbers every week, getting the best spread or total for your opinion is how you stay profitable as the 2021 season trudges forward. That’s why I give you my best NFL Week 7 odds to bet now, and the best to bet later.

Week 7 bet now, bet later picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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The Patriots may be 1-2 SU in their last three games but this team is improving, including rookie QB Mac Jones, who matured in a wild shootout with Dallas in Week 6. New England stays home as 6.5-point chalk in Week 7, welcoming the 1-4 Jets to Gillette Stadium.

The last we saw of Gang Green, they were losing in front of a British crowd in London, falling to Atlanta back in Week 5. New York already lost to this Patriots team back in Week 2, with Zach Wilson throwing four interceptions in a 25-6 defeat in East Rutherford.

Books are dealing Belichick’s guys under the touchdown but the vig on New England is rising to -115 and some sportsbooks have already jumped to a full TD spread. If you believe in the Pats, shop around and grab them now to avoid the touchdown.

The Packers are back in Lambeau Field for just the third time this season, giving 10.5 points to Washington in Week 7. Green Bay was able to crack a tough Chicago defense on the road this past Sunday and improved to 5-1 SU and ATS.

Washington was out-gunned against Kansas City at home in Week 6 but did have a number of skill players out or playing through injury. The Football Team was actually leading at the half, up 13-10 before getting outscored 21-0 in the final 30 minutes.

This spread hit the board at Packers -10.5 at most shops and is sitting with EVEN juice, indicating a potential move to -10. Some books, like FanDuel, are dealing Green Bay -10 (-108), which could roll into a move to -9.5. Wherever it may roam, if you like the Cheeseheads, wait out that nasty half-point hook and see if you can get -10 or lower later on.

This total hit the board as high as 49 points and has started to drop with early play on the Under. Even with books dealing 48.5 or 48 points, I think there’s plenty of headroom for the Under – if you bet it now.

Chicago’s defense did its best against the Packers this past weekend, holding Rodgers & Co. to 24 points and 195 passing yards thanks to a relentless pass rush that tallied three sacks while limiting Green Bay to 2 for 8 on third downs. The Bears take on another future Hall of Fame quarterback in Week 7.

The Bucs' vaunted offense is getting plenty of respect with this opening number but the early money on the Under is giving the nod to the Tampa Bay stop unit, which has looked strong the past three weeks. The Buccaneers have allowed an average of just 269.3 yards per game and 18.7 points per outing in that span and have enjoyed a mini bye to prep for Bears’ rookie QB Justin Fields.

This AFC North rivalry opened with the number as high as 48.5 and quickly money on the Under started chipping away at this total, with the Under 47.5 priced at -115 at some books. That could continue to drop over the next few days.

Joe Burrow has the Bengals’ attack humming along after a massive effort in Detroit this weekend. Cincinnati scored 34 points behind a very balanced attack, getting 256 yards through the air and 142 yards on the ground. The Bengals are making the most of their scoring chances, ranked No. 3 in red-zone TD percentage.

Baltimore had the most impressive victory of Week 6, stunning the Chargers in a 34-6 win. The Ravens didn’t rack up the yardage like Week 5’s OT win versus Baltimore — amassing only 327 total yards against the Bolts — but have blasted this Bengals defense for big scores in recent matchups, totaling 114 points over their last three meetings. And of course... Lamar Jackson. 

The early play on the Under is showing the Ravens' defense respect, but if you see a high-scoring finish in Week 7, take your time before tapping the Over on this total.  

Where can I bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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