Panthers vs Commanders Same Game Parlay Pick: Back Hubbard to Clear Another Low Rushing Bar

Robert Criscola will continue to try and capitalize on what he believes are some mispriced Panthers player props this Sunday, starting with Chuba Hubbard's rushing yards total, as he makes his Panthers vs. Commanders SGP pick.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
Oct 18, 2024 • 15:45 ET • 4 min read
Carolina Panthers Chuba Hubbard NFL
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Carolina Panthers fans have had to watch their team through their fingers as they've limped to a 1-5 start, and things aren't likely to improve against a Washington Commanders team that just played the Ravens tough in defeat after winning four in a row.

However, my NFL picks think there's a pair of Carolina player props that are appealing, and they'll kick off my three-leg Panthers vs. Commanders SGP pick for Week 7.

Panthers vs Commanders SGP for NFL Week 7

Chuba Hubbard 70+ rushing yards

Andy Dalton 2+ passing TDs

Jayden Daniels 225+ passing yards

I'm not sure how much more oddsmakers need to see before they make another major adjustment, but Chuba Hubbard is on a roll for the Carolina Panthers.

Hubbard has cleared his rushing yards prop in five straight games, averaging 94.2 yards in the process. His average Over/Under line in that span was just 58.9 yards. The high-water mark came last week for Hubbard at 69.5 yards, where it sits in the Week 7 odds as well, and he went for 92 yards vs. the Falcons in defeat.

The Washington Commanders' rush defense ranks fourth-worst in the NFL at five yards allowed per carry, so Hubbard to get 70+ rushing yards feels like a solid first leg.

Next up, my Panthers vs. Commanders predictions will add Andy Dalton to tally two passing touchdowns at plus odds.

Dalton has thrown for two TDs in three of four games since relieving Bryce Young at QB. Him having to drop back more often than the Carolina coaching staff would probably like is contributing to that, as he's averaged nearly 36 throws per game this year. 

As touchdown-plus underdogs for this game, it's easy to see the Panthers trying to play catch-up late vs. a Commanders defense allowing exactly two passing touchdowns per game. If Dalton doesn't cash this prop by the fourth quarter, he could have ample opportunity to do so in garbage time.

Finally, oddsmakers continue to raise the passing yards bar on NFL Rookie of the Year odds frontrunner Jayden Daniels. It started at 210.5 in Week 1, cratered to 194.5 in Week 3, and has now risen from 200.5 in Week 5 to 225.5 in Week 6 to an all-time high of 242.5 in Week 7.

While I can't heartily endorse that Over even against the Panthers' sorry stoppers (sixth-worst in yards allowed per attempt), I'm comfortable adding Daniels to get to the 225-yard plateau to round out this SGP. Daniels has thrown for at least that many yards in five straight games. 

Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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