A pair of high-scoring teams meet at Raymond James Stadium with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hosting the Baltimore Ravens tonight in prime time.
My Ravens vs. Buccaneers same-game parlay and NFL picks expect the visitors to cover the number on Monday Night Football for October 21.
Ravens vs Buccaneers SGP for NFL Week 7
Ravens -3.5
Lamar Jackson 40+ rushing yards
Mark Andrews 40+ receiving yards
- Ravens -3.5
- Lamar Jackson 40+ rushing yards
- Mark Andrews 40+ receiving yards
The Baltimore Ravens are rolling along a four-game winning streak, and their offense is clicking with the second-highest EPA per play and success rate during the surge. Perhaps even more important is the Ravens head to Raymond James Stadium in good health to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay has been solid and checks out as a legitimate playoff threat with statement wins over the Washington Commanders, Detroit Lions, and Philadelphia Eagles, but my Ravens vs. Buccaneers predictions believe the overall metrics — DVOA and PFF grade — are too important to look past as they favor the visitors.
The Ravens are also pacing the NFL in yards per play and red-zone conversion percentage while ranking second in net yards per drive. For comparison, the Bucs rank sixth, ninth and 10th.
Additionally, I trust Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson to take care of the offense and win the time-of-possession battle for a fifth consecutive game to extend the winning streak.
Turning to the Week 7 player props and in particular Jackson, he’s rushed for at least 40 yards in all six games this season for an average of 67.2 yards on 10.7 carries. Tampa sports the fifth-lowest run defense grade per PFF, too, and I’m anticipating the Bucs having their hands full with No. 1 running back Derrick Henry to allow a few chunk runs for Jackson.
Baltimore tight end Mark Andrews has been quiet for his standards with just 13 receptions for 186 yards on 18 receptions. Still, he’s been more involved the past two weeks with seven catches for 121 yards while being targeted on 24.3% of his routes compared to just 12.3% through the first four weeks.
Plus, it’s a good matchup, the Bucs have surrendered the second-highest yards per target (9.77) and fifth-highest catch percentage (80.0%) to tight ends this season.
Not intended for use in MA.
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