Our Week 8 NFL picks cover 13 games across Sunday, Nov. 1, and Monday Night Football on Nov. 2, from a potential playoff preview between the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills to the red-hot Chicago Bears facing the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks to close out the week.
Find each analyst's top pick and reasoning below, organized by kickoff time (all times ET). These are the writers' preferred picks, not necessarily their point-spread selections, so check the latest NFL odds before placing your action.
Make sure to also explore more NFL picks across the full Week 7 slate.
Week 8 top picks at a glance (Sunday, Nov. 1 and Monday, Nov. 2)
| Matchup & kickoff | Top pick & analyst |
|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers 1 p.m. |
Browns +3.5 Geoff Clark |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys 1 p.m. |
Cowboys -6.5 Jason Logan |
| Colts vs. Jaguars 1 p.m. |
Jaguars -9.5 Nick Galaida |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers 1 p.m. |
Falcons +2.5 Geoff Clark |
| Raiders vs. Jets 1 p.m. |
Over 45.5 Neil Parker |
| Ravens vs. Bills 1 p.m. |
Bills moneyline Jason Logan |
| Titans vs. Bengals 1 p.m. |
Over 46.5 Jason Logan |
| Vikings vs. Lions 1 p.m. |
Vikings +3.5 Neil Parker |
| Chargers vs. Rams 4:05 p.m. |
Chargers +6.5 Shawn Krest |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos 4:25 p.m. |
Broncos moneyline Neil Parker |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins 4:25 p.m. |
Patriots -6.5 Neil Parker |
| Eagles vs. Commanders 8:20 p.m. |
Over 40.5 Jason Logan |
| Bears vs. Seahawks Mon., 8:15 p.m. |
Under 46.5 Josh Inglis |
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1 p.m. kickoffs
Browns vs. Steelers
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Geoff Clark
Top pick: Browns +3.5
Geoff Clark likes Cleveland getting the points and would play it down to +2.5, since his numbers make Pittsburgh only a 2-point favorite, about the value of home field.
His Browns vs. Steelers predictions point to the Browns’ edge in explosive-play differential and a Steelers defense that gives up the worst average target separation.
Clark also leans on a long-running system of backing underdogs in AFC North games. Cleveland won 27-24 at Pittsburgh in Week 4 as a 2.5-point road underdog and has covered five straight division games. He also likes rookie receiver KC Concepcion Jr. to score, up to 25%.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Cowboys -6.5
Jason Logan is laying the points with Dallas, short of the key number of a touchdown, after the Cowboys’ offense snapped out of a two-game slump on Monday night by going 9-for-14 on third and fourth downs.
His Cardinals vs. Cowboys predictions note that Arizona’s defense ranks 28th in EPA per play and its offense has the third-lowest points per play over the past three games.
Dak Prescott also grades out better at home, with a 103.4 career rating there against 92.8 on the road, and he faces a pass rush with the 11th-lowest pressure rate. This is Dallas’ first “normal” home game since Week 2, according to Logan.
Colts vs. Jaguars
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Nick Galaida
Top pick: Jaguars -9.5
Nick Galaida finds Jacksonville playable to 54% because of the quarterback gap.
His Colts vs. Jaguars predictions show Trevor Lawrence with the fourth-best schedule-adjusted EPA per play among qualifiers, while Daniel Jones has finished only two of his seven starts with positive EPA per play.
The Jaguars also return home after consecutive games in London, and they are 6-0 against the spread in their last six home games against teams with losing records. Galaida adds that the Colts traded away two of their most talented players this week and that wind and rain could affect the game.
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Geoff Clark
Top pick: Falcons +2.5
Geoff Clark is fading a Tampa Bay team that just beat Carolina 43-13, playing Atlanta down to its +1.5 opening number.
His Falcons vs. Buccaneers predictions detail how Baker Mayfield returned from a thumb injury and went 7-for-11 for 64 yards, and that Mayfield has the third-worst QBR this season.
Clark says Atlanta holds the better differentials in yards per play, early-down EPA, pressure rate, and explosive plays. Tampa Bay’s offense ranks last at 5.14 yards per pass play, and the Falcons are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games as a road underdog.
Raiders vs. Jets
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Neil Parker
Top pick: Over 45.5
Neil Parker recommends the Over up to 46.5 because both defenses have slipped.
His Raiders vs. Jets predictions show Las Vegas last in defensive DVOA over the past five weeks while allowing the highest offensive success rate, and New York 26th in both measures over the same stretch.
The offenses are doing their part. The Raiders average 26.1 points per game, the sixth-most in the league, and the Jets rank 12th in PFF offense grade. Parker also likes Ashton Jeanty to score, up to 56%.
Ravens vs. Bills
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Bills moneyline
Jason Logan says Lamar Jackson’s return from an ankle injury has pushed the market too far away from Buffalo, so he is taking the Bills to win outright.
His Ravens vs. Bills predictions argue that Jackson is not 100% and will face the league’s 11th-highest pressure rate per dropback behind a Baltimore offensive line with three starters carrying injury designations.
Buffalo had two weeks to prepare coming off its bye, gets D.J. Moore and Ed Oliver back, and plays its first home game in the new stadium in nearly a month. The Bills are also 7-2 straight up and 6-3 against the spread when laying four or fewer points at home since 2020.
Titans vs. Bengals
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Over 46.5
Jason Logan's Titans vs. Bengals predictions back the Over, with Cincinnati expected to do most of the heavy lifting.
Tennessee's defense ranks dead last in DVOA and is now without star defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons, while Joe Burrow and the Bengals are finding their rhythm after averaging 7.0 yards per play and going a perfect 5-for-5 in the red zone against Baltimore.
Vikings vs. Lions
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Neil Parker
Top pick: Vikings +3.5
Neil Parker takes Minnesota with the points above the key number of 3, up to 56%.
His Vikings vs. Lions predictions highlight a Vikings defense that has allowed the fewest points per game and the lowest EPA per play while ranking second in DVOA, against a Lions defense that ranks 25th.
Minnesota won both 2025 meetings outright as underdogs of 9.5 and 7.5 points, and it has covered seven of its last 10 road games. Parker also likes T.J. Hockenson to score against his former team, up to 31%.
4:05 p.m. kickoff
Chargers vs. Rams
- Kickoff: 4:05 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Analyst: Shawn Krest
Top pick: Chargers +6.5
Shawn Krest is backing the winless Chargers to get their first cover, playing the points until 54% and taking a long look at the moneyline below 30%.
His Chargers vs. Rams predictions say the offensive talent is still there and the issue has been protecting Justin Herbert, who has been sacked the third-most times in the NFL.
Los Angeles used last week’s off week to retool its protection after starting four rookies on the offensive line in its last game. Joe Alt was not on the injury report, and Ladd McConkey has been a full participant after a concussion.
4:25 p.m. kickoffs
Chiefs vs. Broncos
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Neil Parker
Top pick: Broncos moneyline
Neil Parker backs Denver’s moneyline up to 51% with the top spot in the AFC West at stake.
His Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions note that the Broncos have won three straight, averaging 23.3 points per game since Sean Payton took over play-calling, with a defense that ranks fifth in DVOA and allows the fourth-lowest EPA per play.
Cornerback Patrick Surtain II returned to practice as a full participant this week. Kansas City has lost three straight games at Mile High, and Patrick Mahomes is throwing at a career-low average depth of target of 6.7.
Patriots vs. Dolphins
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Analyst: Neil Parker
Top pick: Patriots -6.5
Neil Parker would lay the points with New England up to -8.
His Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions point out that Drake Maye leads the NFL in adjusted EPA per play over the past four weeks, and the Patriots rank second in offensive DVOA while averaging 31 points per game during that surge.
Miami ranks 28th in offensive DVOA and 29th in defensive DVOA. New England also has extra rest and preparation time after playing on Thursday night in Week 7.
Sunday Night Football
Eagles vs. Commanders
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- TV: NBC
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Over 40.5
Jason Logan thinks the two NFC East bottom-dwellers have better offenses than their records suggest.
His Eagles vs. Commanders predictions note that Philadelphia, with Tanner McKee at quarterback and Saquon Barkley back, traded blows with Dallas for 45 minutes on Monday, while Washington ranks as the worst red-zone defense and is bottom-tier on third downs.
Jayden Daniels is four weeks back from his elbow injury and coming off his best game of the season, throwing for 300 yards with a 72.5% completion rate and two touchdowns against San Francisco on Oct. 19. Philadelphia’s pass rush now has the fifth-lowest pressure rate, which should give him time in the pocket.
Monday Night Football
Bears vs. Seahawks
- Kickoff: Monday, Nov. 2, 8:15 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Under 46.5
Josh Inglis' Bears vs. Seahawks predictions support the Under 46.5, with Seattle's defense expected to dictate the pace.
The Seahawks just held Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to three points and zero red-zone trips, haven't allowed a 100-yard rusher in 36 straight games, and have yet to surrender more than 189 passing yards to a quarterback this season.
That spells trouble for a Chicago offense that leads the NFL in rushing yards per game.
More Week 8 NFL picks
Looking for a different market or a second opinion? These Week 8 roundups offer more expert analysis:
- NFL AI predictions and score projections for Week 8
- NFL picks against the spread for every Week 8 game
- NFL moneyline picks for every Week 8 game
- Week 8 expert combo picks
- Week 8 expert prop picks
- Week 8 NFL underdog picks
- Week 8 anytime touchdown scorer grades
- Week 8 NFL touchdown parlay picks
- Week 8 NFL survivor pool picks
- NFL Week 8 odds and opening lines
Before kickoff, check the NFL injury report and NFL weather forecast, and compare prices on the NFL matchups board.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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