Sometimes betting trends are stupid. As someone who does quite a bit of betting trends content, I happily admit that, but all betting trends aren’t created equal.
I’ll often come across silly ones on X (previously known as Twitter) along the lines of, “This team has covered the spread in eight of its last nine road games as an underdog of 5.5 or more points vs. a non-divisional opponent in October in games played inside domes in an election year...”
Well, that’s an exaggeration, but I think you get my point. The more qualities you add in, the more meaningless a trend becomes.
That said, sometimes meaningless trends are still interesting. For instance, the Raiders haven’t covered a spread in Cincinnati since 1991. This, of course, has no bearing on this weekend’s game, but it’s a noteworthy fact for football and betting nerds alike.
While I’ll occasionally sprinkle a meaningless trend into this article (then tell you it’s meaningless), I do consider the majority of the trends in this article to be actionable, or at the very least, a good starting point for a handicap.
Anyway, enough small talk, here’s my favorite NFL betting trends for every Week 9 game. Best of luck this week!
Best NFL Week 9 betting trends
Texans vs Jets
The trend:The Texans have gone Under in 16 of their last 22 regular season games
We might have another recipe for an Under on Thursday night with the Jets ranked 25th in scoring, but they’ve actually been decent on defense where they sit second in yards allowed per play. The total for this week’s Thursday nighter is listed at 42.5.
See all Texans vs Jets trends for Week 9.
Cowboys vs Falcons
The trend: Kirk Cousins has thrown at least one interception in every Falcons’ home game this season
Nothing stands out for team trends, so let’s target the Over 0.5 interceptions prop for Kirk Cousins, who’s thrown seven picks at home but zero on the road. Dating back to last season, Cousins has thrown an interception in eight of nine indoor games.
See all Cowboys vs Falcons trends for Week 9.
Dolphins vs Bills
The trend: The Dolphins are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games
The Dolphins have fallen off a cliff and there’s no end in sight as they’ve also lost eight straight games in Buffalo. They appear to be royally screwed against the Bills, who are averaging 38.3 points per game at home. Buffalo will be a popular teaser option this week as it's favored by 6.5 points.
See all Dolphins vs Bills trends for Week 9.
Raiders vs Bengals
The trend: The Raiders haven’t covered a spread in Cincinnati since 1991
I wouldn’t base your bet on this or ever include it in your handicap for the game, but historic trends like this are fun for those of us who don’t have a lot of excitement in our lives due to a series of regretful decisions that led to an overwhelming amount of shame and loneliness... anyway, this trend spans seven games and includes just one outright win. The Bengals are favored by seven.
See all Raiders vs Bengals trends for Week 9.
Chargers vs Browns
The trend: No Chargers game this season has reached the 40-point mark
This seems relevant with this game having a total of 43, as Chargers’ games have an average combined score of just 31.9 points. They currently rank No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed with just 13 per game, and Los Angeles has cashed the Under in 18 of its last 22 games.
See all Chargers vs Browns trends for Week 9.
Patriots vs Titans
The trend: The Titans are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite
You know you’re a shitty football team when you’re an underdog against the Titans at this point of the season. Tennessee has somehow been a favorite twice already this season and lost both of the games outright to the Colts and Packers. The Patriots come into this game hot (by their standards) as they’re riding a one-game win streak. The Titans are favored by 3.5 in one of the ‘must NOT see-TV’ games of the year.
See all Patriots vs Titans trends for Week 9.
Commanders vs Giants
The trend: Giants’ home games this season have an average combined score of just 31 points
The Giants have scored seven points or less in three of their four home games. This aligns strongly with the Commanders' defense having some standout performances lately, as they've held four of their last five opponents to 15 points or less. Since the start of last season, the Under is 10-2 in Giants’ home games. This game has a total of 43.5.
See all Commanders vs Giants trends for Week 9.
Saints vs Panthers
The trend: Panthers games are 8-0 to the first half Over this season
I could’ve been rude and pointed out that the Panthers are 6-18 ATS since the start of last season and have lost all seven of their games this season by double-digits, but I'll show some class and won’t do that. Instead, let’s focus on how they’re allowing a league-worst 21.9 first-half points per game. This game has a first-half total a tad above that at 22.5.
See all Saints vs Panthers trends for Week 9.
Broncos vs Ravens
The trend: The Ravens are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of seven or more
The Ravens tend to let lesser teams hang around in games and have been bad in this spot, losing outright to the Browns and Raiders as chalk of seven or more. Coincidentally, the Broncos are on a 7-1 ATS run as a dog of 7+. The Ravens are favored by nine in this matchup.
See all Broncos vs Ravens trends for Week 9.
Jaguars vs Eagles
The trend: The Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite
Making matters even worse is that the Eagles have been an outright loser in six of these games. Philly does appear to be turning a corner with three straight wins, while the Jaguars seem to be playing with a bit more pride after a disastrous start to their season. If you think Jacksonville can keep this one tight, you can grab them at +7.5.
See all Jaguars vs Eagles trends for Week 9.
Bears vs Cardinals
The trend: Eight of the Bears’ last nine road games have gone Under
The Bears were supposed to take a big leap on offense this season, but they haven’t scored more than 16 points in any of their three road true games (they did drop 35 in London, to be fair, but that’s not a true road game, so back off). The Cardinals have also had some lousy offensive performances this season, scoring 17 points or less in four of their last six games. The total for the game is 44.5.
See all Bears vs Cardinals trends for Week 9.
Lions vs Packers
The trend: Under Matt LaFleur, Green Bay has gone an amazing 17-4 ATS as an underdog of three points or more.
This seems like a relevant trend with the spread sitting at 3.5 in favor of the Lions. The status of Packers’ QB Jordan Love is up in the air at the time of this writing, but if it is indeed Malik Willis at the helm, keep in mind that Green Bay won both of his starts this season. That said, you’ll probably want some certainty on who’s playing before you pull the trigger on a wager.
See all Lions vs Packers trends for Week 9.
Rams vs Seahawks
The trend: The Rams are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 divisional games
Sean McVay has been cooking within the NFC West and he’ll look to keep the trend going as a two-point favorite in Seattle on Sunday. The Rams look like a completely different team with their top two receivers back in the lineup, and the Seahawks are sputtering with four losses by nine or more points in their last five games.
See all Rams vs Seahawks trends for Week 9.
Colts vs Vikings
The trend: The Colts have covered the spread in six straight games
Indianapolis isn’t an easy team to pull away from. The Colts are 7-1 ATS on the season thanks to three of their four losses coming by three points or less. For the Vikings, that new car smell appears to be wearing off as they’ve dropped two straight games where they’ve allowed 61 combined points. With Joe Flacco in at quarterback, the Colts are a five-point dog.
See all Colts vs Vikings trends for Week 9.
Buccaneers vs Chiefs
The trend: The Bucs have gone Over in five straight games
They’re not just going Over, but they’re going Over by a lot. To be specific, these five games have gone Over the closing total by an average of 18.8 points thanks to an average combined score of 64.4 points. This game has a total of 45.5, which is a number that’s been easily cleared in six of eight Buccaneers games this season.
See all Buccaneers vs Chiefs trends for Week 9.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Odds Converter
Parlay
Print
