The Calgary Flames were able to grind out a win against the San Jose Sharks in their return from the 4 Nations break. It was a tight, low-scoring game where the Flames relied heavily on their goaltending.
My Flames vs. Capitals predictions see the road side leaning on a similar formula against one of the league’s top teams.
Let’s take a closer look with my NHL picks for February 25.
Flames vs Capitals prediction
My Flames pick
Under 6 (-115 at BET99)
My Flames analysis
Death, taxes, and the Calgary Flames playing in low-scoring games. They’ve found themselves in as many as anybody this season, as evidenced by their remarkably one-sided 21-34-1 O/U record.
They don’t score much, particularly on the road. The Flames have potted just 2.44 goals per game while playing away from home.
It’ll be difficult for them to improve upon that against Logan Thompson and the Washington Capitals. If not for Connor Hellebuyck putting forth a Hart Trophy-caliber season, Thompson would be the Vezina odds favorite.
Thompson owns a sparkling .921 SV% and has lost in regulation only twice through 31 starts. He has been almost unbeatable and will make it hard for the Flames to put up a big number.
On the flip side, the Flames should feel comfortable that Dustin Wolf can hold the Capitals to a manageable number and keep the game within striking distance.
Wolf has had an impressive rookie campaign to date, sporting a 20-11-3 record and .913 SV% on the year. He’s stopped 10.4 goals more than expected and kept the Flames in games almost every night, even against top-tier teams.
Just a few weeks ago, these two teams met in Calgary. The Capitals won that game by a 3-1 scoreline and didn’t net their insurance marker until the final three minutes of the game.
It was a tight, hotly contested game featuring two excellent goaltenders — the same two projected to start tonight. Expect the sequel in this two-game season series to play out similarly to the first.
Flames vs Capitals same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 6
Mikael Backlund Over 1.5 shots on goal
Alex Ovechkin Over 3.5 shots on goal
Mikael Backlund takes on the toughest assignments when playing at home, which naturally eats into his ability to create offense. That won’t be a problem playing on the road in Washington.
He’s not likely to see a lot of the Alex Ovechkin line, freeing him up to try and make more happen offensively. That’s proven beneficial this season as Backlund has averaged 5.0 attempts per game on the road compared to 4.5 at home.
Backlund had four shot attempts the last time these two met and has cleared 1.5 shots in seven of his past 10 road dates.
Ovechkin sure seems to have benefited from some time off as he’s looked like a man possessed since the 4 Nations break concluded. He has piled up 13 shots and 23 attempts through two games and attempted double-digit shots in each.
With Wayne Gretzky’s goal record getting closer and closer, Washington’s captain has plenty of motivation to continue firing at will.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Flames vs Capitals odds
Flames vs Capitals live odds
Flames vs Capitals opening odds
- Puck line: Calgary +177 | Washington -203
- Moneyline: Calgary +1.5 (-148) | Washington -1.5 (+128)
- Over/Under: Over 6 (+101) | Under 6 (-115)
Odds courtesy of BET99
Flames vs Capitals trend
The Capitals have only hit the Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-9.10 Units / -10% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Flames vs. Capitals.
How to watch Flames vs Capitals
| Location | Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C. |
| Date | Tuesday, 2-25-2025 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet West |
Flames vs Capitals latest injuries
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