Islanders vs Flyers Picks and Predictions for January 31

Scott Laughton buried the Islanders with last night's OT winner, and judging from the Islanders' recent form and super-green goalie tonight, they might not get a chance for revenge.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jan 31, 2021 • 13:17 ET
Scott Laughton NHL Philadelphia Flyers
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

If you were engaging in some NHL betting last night, you were likely on the edge of your seat with six games going into overtime, including the matchup between the New York Islanders and Philadelphia Flyers, in which Philly eked out a 3-2 victory. 

Can the Islanders even the score tonight? We let you know as we look to beat the NHL odds with our best NHL picks and predictions for Sunday, January 31, with the puck dropping at 7 p.m. ET.

New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

Injuries

Islanders: Anthony Beauvillier (Out), Johnny Boychuk D (Out).
Flyers: Sean Couturier C (Out), Morgan Frost C (Out).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Flyers are 27-10 in their last 37 home games. Find more NHL betting trends for Islanders vs. Flyers.

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NHL Sharp Money and Line Movement Report

By Patrick Everson

Philadelphia hit the FanDuel moneyline Saturday night as a -120 favorite, stretched to -132 this morning, receded to -122 and sits at -130 as of 4:30 p.m. ET. It's two-way action, with 51 percent of bets on the Islanders and 56 percent of money on the Flyers for a 7 p.m. ET faceoff. The total opened at 5.5 (Under -120) and moved to 5.5 (Under -135), although tickets and money are still running 2/1 on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Moneyline Pick

What a difference a year can make. Last season, the Flyers allowed the fewest shots in the league and held opponents to 2.77 goals per game. This year, they rank 29th in shots allowed and are giving up 3 goals per game.  

That said, the Islanders have been absolutely brutal on the offensive end of the ice, averaging just 2 goals per game and converting on just 15.6 percent of powerplay opportunities. So Philadelphia shouldn't have too much trouble limiting New York's struggling forwards. 

The Flyers have been able to find the back of the net themselves, ranking eighth in the league with 3.44 gpg. Philly should be licking its chops tonight with Ilya Sorokin likely to get the nod in nets for the Isles. The rookie has bounced back and forth between the taxi squad and has a GAA of 3.57 with a save percentage of .875 across two starts.

Meanwhile, the Flyers have a strong backup netminder in Brian Elliot, who has a 1.98 GAA with a .938 save percentage this season. The veteran has more than 400 starts in his career and was an All-Star during his prime in St. Louis. 

The Isles have lost four in a row and are 8-17 in their last 25 games as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Flyers are winners of three straight and are 27-10 in their previous 37 contests at home. With Philadelphia having the edge when it comes to offense and goaltending, being able to back them at a reasonable price of -120 seems like the play.

PREDICTION: Philadelphia -120

Over/Under Pick

The Isles have gone 9-1-1 to the Under in their last 11 games, but there's reason to like the Over tonight, especially with the total set at just 5.5 and the Over paying out at plus money.

The Over is 6-2 in the Flyers' previous eight games, and these teams have also gone a commanding 14-5-1 to the Over in the last 20 contests in the head-to-head. 

As bad as the Islanders have looked on offense, Philadelphia has had some iffy play in the back. While having blue-liner Shayne Gostisbehere back in action helps in that department, we're still not sold on them being the strong Under bet they were last year when they went below the total for ten straight games. 

We mentioned Sorokin getting the start, and we have about as much faith in the 25-year-old as head coach Barry Trotz seems to.

The Flyers don't get many shots on net, but they make the most of the opportunities they do get, leading the league with a shooting percentage of 12.6. That could be bad news for the rookie netminder, who surrendered five goals on 32 shots in his debut against the Rangers two weeks ago.

We're tentatively backing the Over and expecting Philly to do most of the scoring. 

PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (+120)

Islanders vs Flyers Betting Card

  • Philadelphia -120
  • Over 5.5 (+120)
NHL Parlays

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Use our NHL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on the NHL?

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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