Maple Leafs vs Sharks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Auston Matthews started March strong with a goal vs. the Penguins. The Maple Leafs captain will make it two in a row against the lowly Sharks tonight at Scotiabank Arena.

Mike DiStefano - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst
Mar 3, 2025 • 08:24 ET • 4 min read

NHL

Match starts: 4 hrs
TOR
74 %
SJ
26 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Auston Matthews anytime goal (-115) Auston Matthews anytime goal (-115)
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Auston Matthews Toronto Maple Leafs NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

We have six games on the NHL betting slate tonight, including a cross-conference clash between the San Jose Sharks and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Auston Matthews has tormented the Sharks repeatedly throughout his career, scoring 12 goals in 13 meetings, and our Maple Leafs vs. Sharks predictions expect that trend to continue. 

Find out why with my free NHL picks for this Monday, March 3 matchup with the puck set to drop at 7:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Maple Leafs vs Sharks prediction

My Leafs pick
Auston Matthews anytime goal (-115 at Sports Interaction)

My Leafs analysis
The Toronto Maple Leafs are looking to win their sixth straight game for the first time in the Auston Matthews captaincy era.

They’ll need to get past the San Jose Sharks, who come to town motivated to snap an eight-game losing streak against a team playing its third game in four nights. 

Throughout the Sharks’ dismal eight-game stretch, they’ve given up a whopping 4.25 goals per game, ranking in the bottom 10 in most defensive and goaltending metrics, per Natural Stat Trick.

This should have the Leafs salivating with the team finding a second gear offensively coming out of the 4 Nations Face-Off. The Buds are averaging a league-best 5.00 goals per game over this five-game winning streak.

Enter Auston Matthews. 

The Leafs captain was in a major funk in February, scoring just one goal — an empty-netter, at that — throughout the entire month. However, the calendar flipped over the weekend and he rifled one past the Penguins netminder for his first non-empty net goal in over a calendar month. 

A true monkey-off-the-back kind of goal. 

Matthews has been known to be a streaky scorer throughout his career, with goals coming in bunches. Hopefully, that trend continues tonight after snapping his skid on Sunday afternoon. 

Add in his usual dominance against the Sharks throughout his career with 12 goals in 13 games, and it's a solid play as tonight’s best bet.

Additionally, Matthews has a strong chance to find the back of the net on the power play, which has been red-hot with a 32.4% success rate since January 15. The Sharks PK ranks 23rd in the NHL with a 76% kill rate. 

Maple Leafs vs Sharks same-game parlay (SGP)

Auston Matthews anytime goal

Auston Matthews 3+ shots on goal

Maple Leafs moneyline

The Leafs captain has hit this SOG number in eight of his last 10 contests, averaging 3.93 shots per game this season.

Toronto has been one of the hottest teams in hockey, while San Jose has been the worst with eight straight losses, sporting a -16 goal differential in that span. The Leafs have also been victorious in four of the last five meetings between the two.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Maple Leafs vs Sharks odds

Maple Leafs vs Sharks live odds

Maple Leafs vs Sharks opening odds

  • Puck line: Toronto +2.5 (-175) | San Jose -2.5 (+130)
  • Moneyline: Toronto +290 | San Jose -375
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-115) | Under 6 (-105)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction

Maple Leafs vs Sharks trend

The Maple Leafs are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Sharks.

How to watch Maple Leafs vs Sharks

Location Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date Monday, 3-3-2025
Puck drop 7:30 p.m. ET
TV Amazon Prime Video

Maple Leafs vs Sharks latest injuries

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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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