Ballon d'Or Betting Odds: Who Will Win the 2024 Ballon d'Or?

The 2024 Ballon d'Or is set to be awarded today and one player who will not win the award is Vinicius Junior.

Chris Vasile - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Publishing Editor
Oct 28, 2024 • 12:29 ET • 4 min read
Vinicius Junior Real Madrid EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The 2024 Ballon d'Or is set to be awarded today in Paris, France and it won't be without controversy. 

Long-time favorite, Vinicius Junior is no longer in the running for the prestigious award, and as such, no Real Madrid representatives will attend proceedings. 

So who will be crowned the best player in Europe for 2024?

Join me as I break down the soccer odds for the 2024 Ballon d'Or.  

2024 Ballon d'Or odds

Player Name BetTony
Madrid Vinicius Junior OTB
Madrid Jude Bellingham OTB
Madrid Toni Kroos OTB
Atletico Kylian Mbappe OTB
Bayern Munich Harry Kane OTB
Manchester City Phil Foden OTB
Manchester City Rodrigo OTB
Manchester City Lionel Messi OTB
Bayern Munich Florian Wirtz OTB

Odds as of 10/28/24

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2024 Ballon d'Or favorites

Vinicius Junior Ballon d'Or odds (OTB)

Reports started to surface this morning about Real Madrid superstar, Vinicius Junior being informed he was not going to win this year's Ballon d'Or award: 

Real Madrid had an incredible year for both club and country. He helped Real Madrid win both La Liga and the Champions League and he was the focal point for a rather disappointing Brazil side at Copa America. He's been labeled as the best winger in the world, so not winning this award will be a shock, and one people will call a robbery. 

Who will win the 2024 Ballon d'Or?

So if Vinicius Junior isn't going to win, who is? 

Rodri 

Rodri is the presumable favorite to win this year's award thanks to his contributions to Man City's treble last year. An everpresent in the midfield, Rodri contribute both goals and assists, in addition to being one of the best midfielders the game has to offer. 

Kylian Mbappe

While Kylian Mbappe hasn't done anything to lose the award, he certainly hasn't done anything to win it. He was good, not great last season at PSG, and his Euro 2024 tournament was less than stellar. If — and this is a big if — this is a popularity contest, Mbappe might steal it.  

Harry Kane 

The English skipper marked his move to Bayern Munich by scoring a career-high in goals and also captained England to the Euro 2024 final, where he was on the mark a few times throughout the tournament. Given the production, but lack of success, Kane just misses out this year. 

What is the Ballon d'Or?

The Ballon d'Or (Golden Ball) is the world's most prestigious men's soccer honor, awarded every year by France Football magazine. The Ballon d'Or is given to the player, worldwide, judged to have had the best individual season both at club level, as well as for his country.

When is the Ballon d'Or awarded?

The Top 3 for the honor will be revealed on September 6 with the winner announced at the 68th annual Ballon d'Or ceremony in Paris on Monday, October 28.

Previous winners of the Ballon d'Or

Year Winner
2023 Lionel Messi
2022 Karim Benzema
2021 Lionel Messi
2019 Lionel Messi
2018 Luka Modric
2017 Cristiano Ronaldo
2016 Cristiano Ronaldo
2015 Lionel Messi
2014 Cristiano Ronaldo
2013 Cristiano Ronaldo
2012 Lionel Messi
2011 Lionel Messi

    Ballon d'Or FAQs

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    Chris Vasile Covers.com
    Publishing Editor

    Chris Vasile has been in the betting industry for well over a decade honing his craft as a writer, editor and handicapper. A journalism graduate from Conestoga College in Kitchener, Ontario, Chris has contributed betting and non-betting content for online publications such as ProSportsDaily and The Hockey Writers, in addition to Covers. With a keen interest in soccer, Chris has been featured on Covers' 'Before You Bet' and runs his own YouTube channel — Game Day Wagers.

    When it comes to daily sports betting, his sportsbook of choice is bet365 for the plethora of markets and great UX. Chris' top sports betting advice is to stick to what you know. Being a jack of all trades and master of none is a quick way to bust the bankroll. Find one or two sports you can devote your time to and trust the process.

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