It’s a battle for fourth place in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon when Manchester City plays host to Chelsea at the Etihad Stadium.
The Citizens sit outside a Champions League position, two points behind Chelsea in the league table. But injuries and struggles in the midfield continue to plague them, and the Blues will look to capitalize and remain in the Top 4 of the table.
I break down the reasons you will want to back the visitors in our Manchester City vs. Chelsea predictions and betting picks for Saturday, January 25.
Premier League predictions for Man City vs Chelsea
My best bet:
Draw/Chelsea FC and Both Teams to Score Yes (+138 at TonyBet)
My analysis
It looked like Manchester City had finally figured things out. Heading into their midweek Champions League match with PSG, they’d won four of five matches, albeit against fairly lowly competition.
After a scoreless first half, the Citizens got a pair of goals four minutes apart to lead 2-0 after 53 minutes.
And then, as they’ve done so many times during this campaign, they capitulated. PSG leveled with two goals in five minutes and added two additional goals to win 4-2 and leave City with a must-win match next week to survive in Europe’s biggest club competition.
That gives Pep Guardiola a bit of a conundrum heading into the match with Chelsea. He’s dealing with a new injury crisis in his back line, with Nathan Ake and Ruben Dias both doubtful and John Stones just back from a long layoff.
Guardiola has got to manage his squad to not only try to move back into the Top 4, but also to have a balanced squad for the match with Brugges.
For Chelsea, that’s just another reason why I like them to get a result. The Blues are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions, and are dealing with some injuries of their own in defense. They’ll also be sweating the fitness of midfielder Enzo Martinez.
But Manchester City can’t get results against teams that have attacking talent, and Chelsea has plenty of that.
Spearheaded by former City player Cole Palmer, Chelsea have scored 11 goals in their last four matches and possess more than enough pace on the wings to cause problems against a City side that struggles against counter-attacks.
Since the middle of December, Manchester City hasn’t beaten any team worth noting. Two weeks ago, Brentford overcame a 2-0 deficit to get a draw.
PSG overcame theirs this week to get a win.
Their only victories have come against teams in lower divisions or languishing near the bottom.
Chelsea aren’t perfect, and I don’t like them to keep a clean sheet. But I expect them to get a result against a vulnerable Manchester City side with one eye on Wednesday’s vital fixture.
Take the combo play at TonyBet of Chelsea double chanced combined with both teams finding the back of the net—with their price of +138 currently being the best available at any book.
Man City vs Chelsea Erling Haaland Player Props
If you want to back Manchester City’s Erling Haaland to score on Saturday, it’ll cost you some juice. He’s currently priced at -141 to find the back of the net. And while he’s scored goals in four of his last five starts, with five goals in total, he’s had mixed results against the Blues.
Haaland has faced Chelsea five times in the Premier League, scoring three goals. But while he scored in the reverse fixture back in the opening match of the campaign, he’s been held without a goal in three of their five meetings.
On the shots market, 4+ shots are priced at -148, while backing Haaland to take five or more will get you +125 odds. It’s also -148 for two of those shots to be on goal, while 3+ shots on target pays a hefty +250.
The striker has put three shots on target in three of his last four matches in the Premier League—but two of those outings were against Ipswich Town and Leicester City. He took just two shots, both on target, in the reverse fixture vs Chelsea.
That said, Chelsea have allowed five or fewer shots on goal in 17 of their 22 league matches this season.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Man City vs Chelsea odds
Man City vs Chelsea live odds
Man City vs Chelsea opening odds
- Moneyline: Man City (-115) | Chelsea (+360)
- Draw: (+300)
- Over/Under: Over 3.5 (+105) | Under (-145)
Man City vs Chelsea side and Over/Under analysis
- Manchester City are favored on the 3-way line at +104. Chelsea are getting +229 to win, while the draw has odds of +300.
- Chelsea’s 21 away points are third-most in the Premier League this season, while Manchester City have won just six of their 10 home league outings. That said, City are unbeaten against Chelsea in their last 10 competitive fixtures in all competitions.
- The total of 3.5 sees the Overpriced at +104, with -122 odds for the Under. Both teams have scored 44 goals in the league, while Manchester City have conceded two more goals (29) than Chelsea have (27).
- Chelsea have the second-most away goals this season, with 24 in 11 fixtures. Their last three matches have each seen 4+ goals while Manchester City’s last five matches in all competitions have seen at least four goals.
How to watch Man City vs Chelsea
| Location | Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England |
| Date | Saturday, 1-25-2025 |
| Time | 12:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Fubo |
| Weather | |
 Recent EPL form |
W-D-W-W-D |
 Recent EPL form |
W-D-D-L-L |
Man City vs Chelsea key injuries
Man City: Ruben Dias D (Doubtful), Rodri M (Out), Nathan Ake D (Doubtful), Kyle Walker D (Out), Oscar Bobb D (Out), Jeremy Doku F (Questionable).
Chelsea: Enzo Fernandez M (Doubtful), Levi Colwill D (Doubtful), Wesley Fofana D (Out), Romeo Lavia M (Doubtful), Benoit Badiashile D (Out).
Not intended for use in MA.
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