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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 20, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.26 |
-164 
|
o7.5 -129
|
-1.5 +105 
|
|
3.48 |
+144 
|
u8.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -118 
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 9-1 in Sanchezs last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Phillies are 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a favorite.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
o0.5+173
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.01 |
-115
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
5.10 |
+105 
|
u8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -172
|
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Royals last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 14-2 in their last 16 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+128
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
3.79 |
-142
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +158
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
o0.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.51 |
+198
|
o7.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
4.67 |
-225
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +104
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Guardians are 6-0 in Williams' last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
o0.5+650
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.06 |
-150 
|
o9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.95 |
+133
|
u10.0 -115
|
+1.5 -122
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Lowders last 6 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+246
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
+120
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.91 |
-136
|
u8.5 -122
|
-1.5 +150
|
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 road games.
Houston
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Astros last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
o0.5+217
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+102
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.60 |
-116
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +165
|
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 10-1 in Martins last 11 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Top Projection
Davis Martin o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
o3.5-102
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+126
|
o8.5 -134
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.92 |
-140
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.71 |
+145
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -141
|
|
4.13 |
-162
|
u8.5 -127
|
-1.5 +135
|
Toronto
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.
Texas
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Rangers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.58 |
-155
|
o10.5 -120
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.05 |
+141
|
u11.0 -119
|
+1.5 -110
|
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Suganos last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.67 |
-120
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.29 |
+105
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -160
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Kremers last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a road underdog.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 home starts.
- Under is 8-1 in Johnsons last 9 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
o1.5+131
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+116
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.41 |
-134
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +172
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 starts overall.
San Diego
- Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
-110
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -240
|
|
4.61 |
-103
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +190
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 road games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+276)
o0.5+276
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.93 |
+220
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 +100
|
|
5.61 |
-275
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 -120
|
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
LA Dodgers
- Under is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
-200
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
3.67 |
+180
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 +100
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 interleague starts.
PHI
@
NYM
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 20th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, putting up a .293 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .036 deviation.
KC
@
PIT
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
PIT (-120)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.27
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most humidity on the slate at 90%.. Batting from the opposite that Lake Bachar throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage today.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Vinnie Pasquantino has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.
BOS
@
TB
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.3
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 park in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Griffin Jax in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mickey Gasper ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mickey Gasper is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #1 park in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The 5th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Tropicana Field.. The switch-hitting Mickey Gasper will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Griffin Jax.
ATH
@
CLE
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Patrick Bailey o0.5 Total RBIs (+244)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 park in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Jack Perkins in today's game.. The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Patrick Bailey has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.2% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last 7 days.
Total RBIs
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 park in the majors for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (43% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
CHC
@
CIN
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+151)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 field in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .307 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .027 difference.
ATL
@
HOU
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+406)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Ronald Acuna Jr. leads MLB with seven dingers in September, including three in his last four games.
The Braves star has an insane .714 SLG and 1.096 OPS this month, while he also carries a .444 average and 1.111 OPS in his career when facing Astros starter Hunter Brown.
Total
u8.5 (-123)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Martin Perez has been solid down the stretch, and he'll be backed up by a Braves bullpen that ranks third in ERA (3.41).
Atlanta should be able to quell a Houston offense that’s averaging just 2.89 runs per game over their last nine contests, with three runs or fewer in six of those outings.
DET
@
CHW
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
HL
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+261)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hao Yu Lee in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Hao Yu Lee is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Hao Yu Lee has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. This year, Hao Yu Lee's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 82nd percentile at 94.5 mph.
Total RBIs
Colt Keith o0.5 Total RBIs (+267)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colt Keith's batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colt Keith is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge in today's game.
WAS
@
STL
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Quinn Mathews u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Projection 4.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Quinn Mathews is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least of all pitchers today.. Mark Ripperger profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.. Busch Stadium projects as the #26 field in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
SEA
@
COL
Sun, Sep 20 • 3:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Kade Anderson throws from, Jordan Beck will have an edge in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Julio Rodriguez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 95.4-mph over the past 14 days.
MIN
@
LAA
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
MIA
@
SD
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
NYY
@
AZ
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (-103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown
Corbin Burnes o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 5.3
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Recording 92.8 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season on average, Corbin Burnes falls in the 83rd percentile.. Cory Blaser profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 30%.. Corbin Burnes will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.. Corbin Burnes has gone to his curveball 5% more often this year (24.2%) than he did last year (19.2%).
MIL
@
BAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Hits
William Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
William Contreras has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Brandon Young will have the handedness advantage over William Contreras in today's game.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for William Contreras in today's game.
Total Home Runs
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1250)
Projection 0.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Jacob Misiorowski.. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
