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New York @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Trevino
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. As in recent games, Jose Trevino has shown noteworthy improvement in his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 3.6% to 9.5% over the course of the past 14 days.

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. As in recent games, Jose Trevino has shown noteworthy improvement in his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 3.6% to 9.5% over the course of the past 14 days.

Willie Calhoun Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

W. Calhoun
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Willie Calhoun is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Willie Calhoun will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's game. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Willie Calhoun has been very consistent with his in recent games, notching a 31.5° launch angle standard deviation in the past 7 days. The wOBA of Willie Calhoun has suffered from negative variance since the start of last season, resulting in his .271 rating being lower than his Expected wOBA of .300 (according to Statcast data as interpreted by THE BAT X).

Willie Calhoun

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Willie Calhoun is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Willie Calhoun will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's game. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Willie Calhoun has been very consistent with his in recent games, notching a 31.5° launch angle standard deviation in the past 7 days. The wOBA of Willie Calhoun has suffered from negative variance since the start of last season, resulting in his .271 rating being lower than his Expected wOBA of .300 (according to Statcast data as interpreted by THE BAT X).

Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Rizzo
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Anthony Rizzo has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 17.3% to 22.5%.

Anthony Rizzo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Anthony Rizzo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Anthony Rizzo will hold the platoon advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's game. Anthony Rizzo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Anthony Rizzo has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 17.3% to 22.5%.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .316, which is a .101 deviation, Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year with a .215 wOBA.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .316, which is a .101 deviation, Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year with a .215 wOBA.

DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

D. LeMahieu
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (46.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Comparing his current average of 89.2 mph to last year's mark of 93.1 mph, there has been a significant boost in DJ LeMahieu's exit velocity this season.

DJ LeMahieu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects DJ LeMahieu in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. DJ LeMahieu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. DJ LeMahieu has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (46.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Comparing his current average of 89.2 mph to last year's mark of 93.1 mph, there has been a significant boost in DJ LeMahieu's exit velocity this season.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. There is a significant increase in Gleyber Torres's average launch figure on the balls he has hit hardest this season, which stands at 21.9°, compared to his figure of 16.3° in the previous season.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. There is a significant increase in Gleyber Torres's average launch figure on the balls he has hit hardest this season, which stands at 21.9°, compared to his figure of 16.3° in the previous season.

Wander Franco Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

W. Franco
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average skill, Wander Franco is projected as the 4th-best batter in the game by THE BAT X. Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Wander Franco will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Wander Franco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his batting average skill, Wander Franco is projected as the 4th-best batter in the game by THE BAT X. Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Wander Franco will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Jhony Brito in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Brandon Lowe generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jhony Brito.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Jhony Brito in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Brandon Lowe generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jhony Brito.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP capability, Jose Siri is projected in the 83rd percentile by THE BAT X. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .216 rate is deflated compared to his .230 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When assessing his BABIP capability, Jose Siri is projected in the 83rd percentile by THE BAT X. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jose Siri will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .216 rate is deflated compared to his .230 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Harold Ramirez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

H. Ramirez
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

Assessing his batting average ability, THE BAT X predicts Harold Ramirez to be the 18th-best hitter in MLB. Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Harold Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In recent times, Harold Ramirez has shown considerable progress in his Barrel%, upgrading from his seasonal rate of 8.2% to 15% in the preceding 14 days.

Harold Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Assessing his batting average ability, THE BAT X predicts Harold Ramirez to be the 18th-best hitter in MLB. Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Harold Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In recent times, Harold Ramirez has shown considerable progress in his Barrel%, upgrading from his seasonal rate of 8.2% to 15% in the preceding 14 days.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Over the last week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 7.2% to 12.5%, showcasing significant improvements in his performance. Comparing his seasonal average exit velocity of 90.1 mph to a recent 14-day average of 93.4 mph, Anthony Volpe has shown a notable increase.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Over the last week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 7.2% to 12.5%, showcasing significant improvements in his performance. Comparing his seasonal average exit velocity of 90.1 mph to a recent 14-day average of 93.4 mph, Anthony Volpe has shown a notable increase.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

M. Margot
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Manuel Margot will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Manuel Margot has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is quite a bit lower than his .319 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Checking in at the 85th percentile, Manuel Margot has notched a .275 batting average since the start of last season.

Manuel Margot

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Manuel Margot will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Manuel Margot has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is quite a bit lower than his .319 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Checking in at the 85th percentile, Manuel Margot has notched a .275 batting average since the start of last season.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. His launch angle has improved significantly from 15.5° in the previous season to 20.1° this year, as observed in Isaac Paredes's performance. As of late, Isaac Paredes's skill in hitting the ball at an angle that maximizes his BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has improved, with a recent increase from 39.5% on the season to 57.1% over the last week.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. His launch angle has improved significantly from 15.5° in the previous season to 20.1° this year, as observed in Isaac Paredes's performance. As of late, Isaac Paredes's skill in hitting the ball at an angle that maximizes his BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has improved, with a recent increase from 39.5% on the season to 57.1% over the last week.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Francisco Mejia Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

F. Mejia
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Francisco Mejia pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Francisco Mejia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Francisco Mejia has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph mark.

Francisco Mejia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Francisco Mejia pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Francisco Mejia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Francisco Mejia has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 87-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph mark.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. His average launch figure on the highest exit velocity balls this year is 21.8°, which is significantly higher compared to his figure of 16.4° in the previous season - Taylor Walls

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game 9° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. His average launch figure on the highest exit velocity balls this year is 21.8°, which is significantly higher compared to his figure of 16.4° in the previous season - Taylor Walls

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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