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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Oct. 4, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.66 |
+135 
|
o6.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -173 
|
|
4.12 |
-148 
|
u7.0 -136
|
-1.5 +155
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 6-1 in Williams' last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss.
- Guardians are 6-1 in Williams' last 7 starts on grass.
SD
@
MIL
Sun, Oct 4 • 4:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Xander Bogaerts is the best +EV homer of the early game, with a fair probability of 12%. Logan Henderson does have the worst HR/9 of all the starters today over the last two seasons at 1.24. He also gave up 12 dingers in the second half over 70-plus innings. Bogaerts is raking so far in the postseason, hitting .455 with a homer and a double over three games, including two multi-hit efforts. There might not be a lot of runs today, but this is a long price for a guy seeing the ball well who has already shown us he can go yard in the postseason.
Strikeouts Thrown
Logan Henderson o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+106)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Logan Henderson has a 37.4% whiff rate on his changeup, which opponents are hitting just .172 against, and that’s only his second-best pitch. His four-seamer ranks among the 20 most effective pitches in MLB with a 20.8 whiff rate, a 34.8% strikeout rate and a .152 average against.
He’s struck out at least seven batters in eight of his last 11 starts and is better pitching at home, with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s also boosted his strikeouts per nine by nearly a full strikeout from August to September/October.
ATL
@
LAD
Sun, Oct 4 • 8:00 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+482)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Let’s stay in Los Angeles, where the hitting conditions might not be as priced in as they usually are during the hotter summer months. Chris Sale is a dog, but he does get hit harder in the postseason, with a 1.52 HR/9 compared to 0.66 over the last two seasons. Teoscar Hernandez launched a long ball yesterday in the Dodgers’ win and is priced well again today in a righty-vs.-lefty matchup against a pitcher he has already taken deep over a decent 24-AB sample. Hernandez has seen plenty of Sale, and this fair price is closer to 19%.
Total Home Runs
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total Home Runs (+640)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Blake Snell might not give up a lot of dingers during the regular season, but his postseason HR/9 is nearly double. He is a firm pitcher, and in the playoffs, with batters amped up and dealing with more adrenaline, they tend to get to fastballs better than during a sleepy game in July. Ozzie Albies has dingers in back-to-back postseason games, and the price is long because of the matchup, but the only scoring in this game might come via the longball. Albies has handled Snell well over a small 12-game sample, collecting four hits with one extra-base hit. The fair price on this is closer to 5x, and it’s 92 degrees with the wind blowing out at Dodger Stadium.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
