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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 12, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
+148 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.01 |
-170
|
u8.5 -104
|
-1.5 +130
|
Colorado
- Under is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gordons last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 overall.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague games.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5+125
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.93 |
+158 
|
o8.0 -113 
|
+1.5 -135 
|
|
4.92 |
-170
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +125 
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.21 |
+105
|
o8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
5.37 |
-122 
|
u9.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
o0.5+550
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-105
|
o8.0 -124
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.49 |
-104
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Bradishs last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 on astroturf.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Bradishs last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Blue Jays last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
-155
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
3.88 |
+136
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -120
|
San Diego
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kings last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
San Francisco
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+100
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.48 |
-115
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +165
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Urenas last 5 interleague starts.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Top Projection
Jose Siri u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
u0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
-190
|
o7.5 -118
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
3.80 |
+170
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
-108
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.34 |
-108
|
u9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Connor Prielipp o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
o4.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
+160
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
5.53 |
-186
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dobnaks last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Dobnaks last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 home starts.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Randy Dobnak u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-117)
u5.5-750
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+125
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.65 |
-144
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 7-2 in Astros last 9 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
+155
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -132
|
|
5.08 |
-170
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +116
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 road starts.
- Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games.
Milwaukee
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.69 |
-102
|
o7.0 -215
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.66 |
-115
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.0 +190
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 games as a road favorite.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Leahys last 8 home starts.
Top Projection
Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
+110
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.04 |
-115 
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -188
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in Luzardos last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 4-0 in Luzardos last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Under is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
o0.5+196
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.05 |
+124
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.83 |
-140
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +146
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Rangers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 interleague games.
Top Projection
Kumar Rocker u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+112)
u3.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.80 |
-170
|
o9.5 -110
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
4.74 |
+152
|
u10.5 -160
|
+1.5 +100
|
Seattle
- Mariners are 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Woos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Woos last 7 starts on grass.
Athletics
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs. American League West.
- are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+185
COL
@
DET
Sat, Sep 12 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Gordon today.. Riley Greene will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as MLB's 13th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Sears throws from, Hunter Goodman will have the upper hand in today's game.
NYM
@
NYY
Sat, Sep 12 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (+300)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Total
o8.5 (+103)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
PIT
@
CHC
Sat, Sep 12 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Henry Davis has been unlucky this year, notching a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .052 gap.
Total Bases
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Ian Happ is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.8-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
BAL
@
TOR
Sat, Sep 12 • 3:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #5 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #5 stadium in the majors for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
SD
@
SF
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.. Bryce Eldridge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Cronenworth's true offensive skill to be a .303, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 deviation between that mark and his actual .265 wOBA.
LAA
@
WAS
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Dylan Crews will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 13.1% to 18.4%.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 9th-best batter in MLB.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 83°.. Mike Trout will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Alvarez today.
LAD
@
MIA
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mookie Betts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Mookie Betts has been hot recently, cracking 2 HRs in the last week.. Despite posting a .320 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has had some very poor luck given the .018 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.
CLE
@
MIN
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-120)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Gavin Williams and Bailey Ober offer an even starting duel, but Cleveland possesses baseball's most dominant active bullpen (2.83 SIERA, 5.9% walk rate over the last 14 days). In a tight matchup, I trust Cleveland's late-inning shutdown arms with the better bats to secure the win.
Strikeouts Thrown
Connor Prielipp o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+111)
Projection 4.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Connor Prielipp in the 82nd percentile among all starters in the league.. The Cleveland Guardians have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Petey Halpin, Patrick Bailey, David Fry).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today.. Connor Prielipp will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.
KC
@
BOS
Sat, Sep 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Dobnak throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jarren Duran has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Randy Dobnak u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-117)
Projection 2.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Dobnak in the 1st percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.. Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Randy Dobnak is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate.. The #6 stadium in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected offense, Randy Dobnak will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.
HOU
@
TB
Sat, Sep 12 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.02
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the best field in the league for left-handed home runs.. Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. Utilizing Statcast data, Yordan Alvarez grades out in the 98th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .384.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 17th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #1 park in the league for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.
CHW
@
STL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs
Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge in today's game.
PHI
@
ATL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jesús Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split.
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 19th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
TEX
@
AZ
Sat, Sep 12 • 8:10 PM ET
Moneyline
TEX (+125)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field profiles as the #3 field in the majors for overall lefty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup.. Corey Seager may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
SEA
@
ATH
Sat, Sep 12 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jeff McNeil o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #3 park in the majors for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Among all major league parks, Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
