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CLE +0 o0.0
CHC +0 u0.0
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MIA +0 o0.0
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KC +0 u0.0
Bally Sports Network

Kansas City @ Milwaukee Props

American Family Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

As per THE BAT projection system, American Family Field is ranked as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. This game projects for the 4th-best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Of all teams on the slate today, the best outfield defense is projected to be from the Milwaukee Brewers. Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Recently, Vinnie Pasquantino's velocity on flyballs has dropped off, dropping from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 87.1 mph in the last 14 days.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As per THE BAT projection system, American Family Field is ranked as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. This game projects for the 4th-best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Of all teams on the slate today, the best outfield defense is projected to be from the Milwaukee Brewers. Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Recently, Vinnie Pasquantino's velocity on flyballs has dropped off, dropping from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 87.1 mph in the last 14 days.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

As per THE BAT projection system, American Family Field is ranked as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. This game projects for the 4th-best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Christian Yelich's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (-0.3° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 6° seasonal mark.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As per THE BAT projection system, American Family Field is ranked as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. This game projects for the 4th-best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Christian Yelich's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (-0.3° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 6° seasonal mark.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

R. Tellez
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Rowdy Tellez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In recent times, Rowdy Tellez has shown improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which maximizes the chances of a home run. His percentage has increased from 14.5% for the season to 27.3% in the past 7 days.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Rowdy Tellez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In recent times, Rowdy Tellez has shown improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which maximizes the chances of a home run. His percentage has increased from 14.5% for the season to 27.3% in the past 7 days.

Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Pratto
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nick Pratto has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball hitters like Nick Pratto tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Nick Pratto has been hot in recent games, cruising to a .410 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Nick Pratto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nick Pratto has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball hitters like Nick Pratto tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Nick Pratto has been hot in recent games, cruising to a .410 wOBA in the past two weeks.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

In terms of his BABIP talent, William Contreras ranks in the 79th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. William Contreras will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In terms of his BABIP talent, William Contreras ranks in the 79th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. William Contreras will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Wiemer
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Joey Wiemer will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In recent times, Joey Wiemer's exit velocity has notably risen; observe the difference between his average of 93.8 mph in the last week and his seasonal mark of 87.5 mph.

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Joey Wiemer hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Joey Wiemer will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In recent times, Joey Wiemer's exit velocity has notably risen; observe the difference between his average of 93.8 mph in the last week and his seasonal mark of 87.5 mph.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so MJ Melendez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. MJ Melendez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph average. MJ Melendez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .291 figure is a good deal lower than his .322 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so MJ Melendez has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. MJ Melendez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph average. MJ Melendez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .291 figure is a good deal lower than his .322 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Brice Turang will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Being consistent in launch angle indicates good hitting, which has been demonstrated by Brice Turang with a 31.4° standard deviation in launch angle in the past 7 days.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Brice Turang will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Being consistent in launch angle indicates good hitting, which has been demonstrated by Brice Turang with a 31.4° standard deviation in launch angle in the past 7 days.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Willy Adames will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal figure of 94-mph to his 98.3-mph figure in the last two weeks, it is clear that Willy Adames has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Willy Adames will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal figure of 94-mph to his 98.3-mph figure in the last two weeks, it is clear that Willy Adames has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Brian Anderson Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Anderson
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Brian Anderson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brian Anderson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 89-mph.

Brian Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Brian Anderson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brian Anderson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 89-mph.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Edward Olivares's batting average skill is estimated to be in the 82nd percentile by THE BAT X projects. American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. There has been a significant improvement in the exit velocity of Edward Olivares during recent games, with his average speed on flyballs reaching 95.9-mph over the last 7 days, compared to his overall average of 88.5-mph. His wOBA this year has had some very poor luck as Edward Olivares's .310 mark is considerably lower compared to his .379 Expected wOBA (calculated by THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data).

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Edward Olivares's batting average skill is estimated to be in the 82nd percentile by THE BAT X projects. American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. There has been a significant improvement in the exit velocity of Edward Olivares during recent games, with his average speed on flyballs reaching 95.9-mph over the last 7 days, compared to his overall average of 88.5-mph. His wOBA this year has had some very poor luck as Edward Olivares's .310 mark is considerably lower compared to his .379 Expected wOBA (calculated by THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data).

Hunter Dozier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

H. Dozier
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hunter Dozier has been unlucky this year, posting a .254 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .060 disparity.

Hunter Dozier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Hunter Dozier has been unlucky this year, posting a .254 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .060 disparity.

Matt Duffy Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Duffy
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

In terms of his BABIP talent, Matt Duffy ranks in the 88th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Ranked in the 85th percentile, Matt Duffy's .338 BABIP since the start of last season, has been compiled.

Matt Duffy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his BABIP talent, Matt Duffy ranks in the 88th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. American Family Field has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Ranked in the 85th percentile, Matt Duffy's .338 BABIP since the start of last season, has been compiled.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 4th-worst infield defense out of all teams. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 4th-worst infield defense out of all teams. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Winker
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Jesse Winker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Jesse Winker will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jesse Winker has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Being the 8th-highest ballpark in the league, American Family Field typically results in improved offensive performance due to its high elevation. Jesse Winker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Today, the Kansas City Royals have the 3rd-worst infield defense out of all teams. Jesse Winker will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jesse Winker has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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