LIVE bottom 4th Oct 30
LAD 0 +130 o8.5
NYY 5 -142 u8.5

St. Louis @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Triston Casas will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Triston Casas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Triston Casas will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Kluber in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas today. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage over Miles Mikolas today. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Estimating Tommy Edman's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 88th percentile. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of the day. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 15.3% on the season to 25% over the last two weeks.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Estimating Tommy Edman's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 88th percentile. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of the day. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 15.3% on the season to 25% over the last two weeks.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

D. Carlson
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Over the past 14 days, Dylan Carlson has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 9.1% to 15.2%. Compared to last year, Dylan Carlson has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 16.5% to 20.8%. In the last 14 days, Dylan Carlson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 20.8% to 27.3% during the current season.

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Over the past 14 days, Dylan Carlson has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 9.1% to 15.2%. Compared to last year, Dylan Carlson has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 16.5% to 20.8%. In the last 14 days, Dylan Carlson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 20.8% to 27.3% during the current season.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Over
-390
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Over
-390
Projection Rating

Assessing his batting average ability, THE BAT X predicts Masataka Yoshida to be the 16th-best hitter in the majors. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Assessing his batting average ability, THE BAT X predicts Masataka Yoshida to be the 16th-best hitter in the majors. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Masataka Yoshida will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage over Corey Kluber today. Brendan Donovan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brendan Donovan has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph EV.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage over Corey Kluber today. Brendan Donovan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brendan Donovan has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph EV.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As according to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is placed at the 2nd position among MLB fields for righty batting average. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As according to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is placed at the 2nd position among MLB fields for righty batting average. Among all parks, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 park in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Knizner
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

As according to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is placed at the 2nd position among MLB fields for righty batting average. Andrew Knizner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. By increasing his Barrel% from 3.5% in the previous season to 11.8% this year, Andrew Knizner has displayed significant improvements. Comparing his average of 93.2 mph this season to last season's average of 87.5 mph, Andrew Knizner has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Andrew Knizner's launch angle this season (21.9°) is considerably better than his 15.3° mark last year.

Andrew Knizner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As according to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is placed at the 2nd position among MLB fields for righty batting average. Andrew Knizner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. By increasing his Barrel% from 3.5% in the previous season to 11.8% this year, Andrew Knizner has displayed significant improvements. Comparing his average of 93.2 mph this season to last season's average of 87.5 mph, Andrew Knizner has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Andrew Knizner's launch angle this season (21.9°) is considerably better than his 15.3° mark last year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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