HOU -129 o8.5
TOR +119 u8.5
NYM -113 o8.0
WAS +105 u8.0
MIL -145 o11.5
COL +134 u11.5
Bally Sports Network

Atlanta @ Texas props

Globe Life Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Assessing his BABIP talent, THE BAT X rates Josh Jung in the 85th percentile. Josh Jung is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Josh Jung will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Josh Jung, evident by his 97.3-mph mark in the last week as compared to his seasonal mark of 90.7 mph.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Assessing his BABIP talent, THE BAT X rates Josh Jung in the 85th percentile. Josh Jung is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Josh Jung will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Josh Jung, evident by his 97.3-mph mark in the last week as compared to his seasonal mark of 90.7 mph.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Duran in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past week. Over the past 14 days, Ezequiel Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his average of 98.2-mph, which surpasses his seasonal average of 94.7-mph.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Duran in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past week. Over the past 14 days, Ezequiel Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his average of 98.2-mph, which surpasses his seasonal average of 94.7-mph.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. A significant rise in Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs is EVident this season as his average of 95.8 mph is much lower than last year's 90 mph EV. Last season, Jonah Heim had an average launch figure of 11.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season his figure has significantly increased to 21°.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. A significant rise in Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs is EVident this season as his average of 95.8 mph is much lower than last year's 90 mph EV. Last season, Jonah Heim had an average launch figure of 11.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season his figure has significantly increased to 21°.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Marcell Ozuna is projected to be in the 85th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. In the last week's worth of games, Marcell Ozuna has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 16.2% to 40%. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 17.6% on the season to 40% in the past week's worth of games. Marcell Ozuna has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .216 BA is deflated compared to his .240 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Marcell Ozuna is projected to be in the 85th percentile for his overall offensive abilities by THE BAT X. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. In the last week's worth of games, Marcell Ozuna has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 16.2% to 40%. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 17.6% on the season to 40% in the past week's worth of games. Marcell Ozuna has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .216 BA is deflated compared to his .240 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Projected by THE BAT X, Corey Seager is expected to be the 13th-best hitter in the game. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Corey Seager

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Projected by THE BAT X, Corey Seager is expected to be the 13th-best hitter in the game. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Leody Taveras has posted a .353 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Leody Taveras has posted a .353 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 19th-best hitter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last year's 92.9-mph EV.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Matt Olson projects as the 19th-best hitter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last year's 92.9-mph EV.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Marcus Semien in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17% to 21.5%.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Marcus Semien in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17% to 21.5%.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Orlando Arcia has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last week. Orlando Arcia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 46.3% on the season to 57.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Orlando Arcia has achieved an impressive .341 wOBA, widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense for since the start of last season. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Orlando Arcia has notched a .267 batting average since the start of last season.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Orlando Arcia has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the last week. Orlando Arcia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 46.3% on the season to 57.9% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Orlando Arcia has achieved an impressive .341 wOBA, widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense for since the start of last season. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Orlando Arcia has notched a .267 batting average since the start of last season.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Austin Riley scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Austin Riley's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93.6-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 69-mph in the last week's worth of games. There is a significant increase in Austin Riley's average launch mark on the balls he has hit hardest this year, which stands at 16.5°, compared to his mark of 13.5° in the previous season.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Austin Riley scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Austin Riley's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93.6-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 69-mph in the last week's worth of games. There is a significant increase in Austin Riley's average launch mark on the balls he has hit hardest this year, which stands at 16.5°, compared to his mark of 13.5° in the previous season.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. A significant escalation has been observed in Sean Murphy's Barrel% as he has increased his rate from 10.5% in the previous season to 21.1% in the current year. Sean Murphy has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.9-mph figure. Sean Murphy has put up a .422 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 99th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. A significant escalation has been observed in Sean Murphy's Barrel% as he has increased his rate from 10.5% in the previous season to 21.1% in the current year. Sean Murphy has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.9-mph figure. Sean Murphy has put up a .422 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 99th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Eddie Rosario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Between last season and this year, Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball within the BABIP-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26° has improved, rising from 39.3% to 55.3%. The wOBA of Eddie Rosario has suffered from negative variance this year, resulting in his .298 rating being lower than his Expected wOBA of .333 (according to Statcast data as interpreted by THE BAT X).

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Eddie Rosario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Between last season and this year, Eddie Rosario's ability to hit the ball within the BABIP-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26° has improved, rising from 39.3% to 55.3%. The wOBA of Eddie Rosario has suffered from negative variance this year, resulting in his .298 rating being lower than his Expected wOBA of .333 (according to Statcast data as interpreted by THE BAT X).

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. From last season's 5.4%, Ozzie Albies has impressively increased his Barrel% to 11.7% this year. In the last 7 days, Ozzie Albies has had a launch angle of 31.5°, significantly higher than his seasonal angle of 14.3°.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. From last season's 5.4%, Ozzie Albies has impressively increased his Barrel% to 11.7% this year. In the last 7 days, Ozzie Albies has had a launch angle of 31.5°, significantly higher than his seasonal angle of 14.3°.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Adolis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. A considerable increase has been observed in Adolis Garcia's average launch mark on his highest exit velocity balls in the past two weeks, reaching 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 19.1%.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Adolis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. A considerable increase has been observed in Adolis Garcia's average launch mark on his highest exit velocity balls in the past two weeks, reaching 21.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 19.1%.

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Robbie Grossman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Lately, Robbie Grossman has been achieving a significantly higher average launch angle of 23° on his balls with the hardest-hit, in contrast to his seasonal mark of 13.3°.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense. Robbie Grossman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Lately, Robbie Grossman has been achieving a significantly higher average launch angle of 23° on his balls with the hardest-hit, in contrast to his seasonal mark of 13.3°.

Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.39
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+115
Under
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.39
Best Odds
Over
+115
Under
-150

Josh H. Smith has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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