Final (10) Oct 17
NYY 5 -102 o7.0
CLE 7 -106 u7.0
Final Oct 17
LAD 10 -129 o7.0
NYM 2 +119 u7.0
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Chicago @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Mervis
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. With a reliable standard to study power, Matt Mervis's recent performance has been hot, achieving a 20% Barrel% in the last week.

Matt Mervis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt Mervis will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. With a reliable standard to study power, Matt Mervis's recent performance has been hot, achieving a 20% Barrel% in the last week.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. With its low altitude, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest levels in the majors, resulting in decreased offensive production. There has been a significant drop in Bryce Harper's launch angle this year, which now stands at -1.6°, compared to his 11.7° figure from last year.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. With its low altitude, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest levels in the majors, resulting in decreased offensive production. There has been a significant drop in Bryce Harper's launch angle this year, which now stands at -1.6°, compared to his 11.7° figure from last year.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Yan Gomes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Y. Gomes
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Yan Gomes in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yan Gomes pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. From last year's 3.5%, Yan Gomes has impressively increased his Barrel% to 12.3% this year.

Yan Gomes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Yan Gomes in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Yan Gomes pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. From last year's 3.5%, Yan Gomes has impressively increased his Barrel% to 12.3% this year.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP skill. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Marsh has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP skill. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Marsh has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

In terms of his BABIP talent, Edmundo Sosa ranks in the 82nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Edmundo Sosa has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .240 BA falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his BABIP talent, Edmundo Sosa ranks in the 82nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Edmundo Sosa has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .240 BA falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Morel
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Christopher Morel's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Christopher Morel has been hot of late, putting up a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last two weeks.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Christopher Morel's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Christopher Morel has been hot of late, putting up a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last two weeks.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trey Mancini Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

T. Mancini
designated hitter DH • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Trey Mancini is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Trey Mancini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Trey Mancini is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Assessing his BABIP talent, THE BAT X rates Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile. Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Assessing his BABIP talent, THE BAT X rates Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile. Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When assessing his batting average ability, Alec Bohm is ranked in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Alec Bohm has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 6.8% to 16.7%, showcasing notable gains in his performance.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his batting average ability, Alec Bohm is ranked in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Alec Bohm has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 6.8% to 16.7%, showcasing notable gains in his performance.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. Trea Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In his recent games, Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 95.1-mph figure over the past fortnight, a notable improvement from his seasonal figure of 90.9-mph. Trea Turner's launch angle this year (16.2°) is quite a bit better than his 9.7° figure last year.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. Trea Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In his recent games, Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 95.1-mph figure over the past fortnight, a notable improvement from his seasonal figure of 90.9-mph. Trea Turner's launch angle this year (16.2°) is quite a bit better than his 9.7° figure last year.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kody Clemens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for long-balls. This matchup is expected to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kody Clemens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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