MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 18, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Apr 18 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Paul Goldschmidt logo
Paul Goldschmidt u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #27 field in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.. This season, there has been a decline in Paul Goldschmidt's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.12 ft/sec last year to 25.22 ft/sec currently.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 90.6-mph.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Apr 18 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Wallner is penciled in 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. In the majors, Target Field's CF fences are the 9th-deepest.. The league's 5th-highest average fence height can be found at Target Field.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of all games today at 39°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Andrew Abbott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Wallner today.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart as the 14th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.2-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Over the last week, Sal Stewart's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 24.5% up to 30.8%.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, Apr 18 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 50°.. Hitting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Luis Robert Jr. faces a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Robert Jr. today.
Total Hits
Nico Hoerner logo
Nico Hoerner u0.5 Total Hits (+210)
Projection 0.96
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 50°.. Hitting from the same side that Freddy Peralta throws from, Nico Hoerner will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Nico Hoerner has been lucky this year, posting a .396 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .077 discrepancy.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Apr 18 • 4:05 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
59% of the time that Luis Garcia Jr. has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Nationals Park profiles as the #27 venue in the majors for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Garcia Jr. generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser.. Luis Garcia Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.6°, Luis Garcia Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-6.3°) over the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting of all games on the slate.. Extreme groundball batters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cade Cavalli.. Willy Adames has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 94.2-mph.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Apr 18 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 82°.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe u1.5 Total Bases (-160)
Projection 0.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
PNC Park grades out as the #30 venue in the league for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park has the 6th-highest fences in MLB.. Long-balls are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all parks.. Brandon Lowe's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 91-mph EV last year has fallen off to 84.5-mph.. Brandon Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 43% to 28.9%.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sat, Apr 18 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Carlos Cortes has been pinch hit for 46% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-lowest humidity of the day at 8%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-lowest humidity of the day at 8%.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. In today's game, Munetaka Murakami is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (87th percentile).. The Athletics outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams today.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Apr 18 • 4:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage against Dillon Dingler today.
Total Hits
Andruw Monasterio logo
Andruw Monasterio u0.5 Total Hits (+127)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Andruw Monasterio's speed has decreased this year. His 27.7 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.72 ft/sec now.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.266) may lead us to conclude that Andruw Monasterio has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .328 actual wOBA.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Apr 18 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gary Sanchez projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gary Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Gary Sanchez has displayed some good exit velocity statistics of late, averaging 103.8-mph on his flyballs over the past two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast data, Gary Sanchez grades out in the 82nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 25.400.
Total Bases
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year's 94-mph average.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, Apr 18 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Kyle Manzardo has been pinch hit for in 25% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-coldest weather on the slate today at 56°.. In today's matchup, Kyle Manzardo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (84th percentile).. From last season to this one, Kyle Manzardo's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.7% to 9.7%.
Total Bases
George Valera logo
George Valera u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
George Valera has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 37% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-coldest weather on the slate today at 56°.. George Valera has performed at a clip of 8.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 22nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. George Valera has put up a .176 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sat, Apr 18 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for LHB home runs.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance McCullers Jr. in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Jordan Walker has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.2% rate last season to 22.9% this year.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Apr 18 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #23 park in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Adolis Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 93.3-mph mark last season has dropped to 90.3-mph.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 19.5°, Adolis Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.8°) in the last 14 days.. Sporting a .289 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Adolis Garcia grades out in the 16th percentile for offensive ability.
Total Hits
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper u0.5 Total Hits (+137)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #8 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Bryce Harper will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sat, Apr 18 • 7:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-138)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Most of the edge in the batter's box goes to Texas, but the Mariners pitching is top-notch, and I like Kirby a little bit more than Eovaldi in this spot. 

Total Hits
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sat, Apr 18 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak u0.5 Total Hits (+153)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mickey Moniak has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-coldest weather on the slate today at 56°.. Typically, hitters like Mickey Moniak who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Emmet Sheehan.. By putting up a 5.69 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Mickey Moniak has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 4th percentile.
Total Hits
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 4th-coldest weather on the slate today at 56°.. Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Goodman in today's game.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) provides evidence that Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .276 actual batting average.. In terms of plate discipline, Hunter Goodman's ability is quite weak, sporting a 5.14 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 6th percentile.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, Apr 18 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nathan Lukes logo
Nathan Lukes u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Nathan Lukes has been pinch hit for in 40% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. In the majors, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathan Lukes in today's game.. Nathan Lukes has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 5% rate last season has dropped to 0% this year.. Nathan Lukes's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 87.9-mph EV last year has decreased to 85.6-mph.
Total Hits
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Jesus Sanchez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. In the majors, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jesus Sanchez today.. In the past week's worth of games, Jesus Sanchez's swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 23.5% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, Apr 18 • 9:38 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

The Angels have plenty of power in their lineup, and they are playing at home. German Marquez boasts a 5.54 ERA and 1.69 WHIP. That should be all they need to pick up the win. 

Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 8th-best hitter in baseball.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium projects as the #7 ballpark in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
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