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Arizona @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dalton Guthrie Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

D. Guthrie
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Dalton Guthrie will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 93rd percentile with a sprint speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie displays remarkable quickism.

Dalton Guthrie

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Dalton Guthrie will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 93rd percentile with a sprint speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie displays remarkable quickism.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, field ranks as the 21nd field in the majors for right-handed BABIP. Being one of the lowest in the majors, Citizens Bank Park's altitude is close to sea-level, resulting in a decrease in offensive productivity. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 91.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 82.8-mph over the last week. Last year, Ketel Marte achieved a launch angle of 13.2°, which has decreased significantly to 7° this season.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Per THE BAT projection system, field ranks as the 21nd field in the majors for right-handed BABIP. Being one of the lowest in the majors, Citizens Bank Park's altitude is close to sea-level, resulting in a decrease in offensive productivity. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 91.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 82.8-mph over the last week. Last year, Ketel Marte achieved a launch angle of 13.2°, which has decreased significantly to 7° this season.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Upon assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh to be the best batter in MLB. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Brandon Marsh has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Upon assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh to be the best batter in MLB. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Brandon Marsh has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT X, it is projected that Kyle Schwarber will rank as the 15th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Per THE BAT X, it is projected that Kyle Schwarber will rank as the 15th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

In terms of his batting average skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 97th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In terms of his batting average skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 97th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

G. Stubbs
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Garrett Stubbs will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Garrett Stubbs will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Garrett Stubbs has notched a .329 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Garrett Stubbs

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Garrett Stubbs will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Garrett Stubbs will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Garrett Stubbs has notched a .329 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Nick Ahmed pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Grading out in the 80th percentile with a sprint speed of 28.28 ft/sec this year, Nick Ahmed displays remarkable fastism.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Nick Ahmed will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Nick Ahmed pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Grading out in the 80th percentile with a sprint speed of 28.28 ft/sec this year, Nick Ahmed displays remarkable fastism.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP capskill, Gabriel Moreno is projected in the 91st percentile by THE BAT X. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP capskill, Gabriel Moreno is projected in the 91st percentile by THE BAT X. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Estimating Alec Bohm's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 94th percentile. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 15.9% on the season to 27.8% over the past 14 days.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Estimating Alec Bohm's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 94th percentile. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 15.9% on the season to 27.8% over the past 14 days.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Bryce Harper has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Bryce Harper will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Bryce Harper has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

P. Smith
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Comparing his seasonal 90.4-mph EV to his 93.1-mph average in the past week's games, Pavin Smith's exit velocity has significantly increased in recent times. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 13.4°, Pavin Smith has recorded a launch angle of 19.8° over the last 7 days, showcasing a significant increase.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Comparing his seasonal 90.4-mph EV to his 93.1-mph average in the past week's games, Pavin Smith's exit velocity has significantly increased in recent times. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 13.4°, Pavin Smith has recorded a launch angle of 19.8° over the last 7 days, showcasing a significant increase.

Evan Longoria Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Longoria
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

Evan Longoria is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Evan Longoria will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Evan Longoria

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Evan Longoria is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Evan Longoria will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.

Dominic Fletcher Total Hits Props • Arizona

D. Fletcher
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Recently, Dominic Fletcher has made progress in hitting the ball with a launch angle that maximizes home runs, with his success rate escalating from 26.3% throughout the season to 30.8% within the past week. With a .362 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games, Dominic Fletcher has been on fire of late.

Dominic Fletcher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Recently, Dominic Fletcher has made progress in hitting the ball with a launch angle that maximizes home runs, with his success rate escalating from 26.3% throughout the season to 30.8% within the past week. With a .362 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games, Dominic Fletcher has been on fire of late.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game. Kody Clemens will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Kody Clemens has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 12.1% to 25%.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's game. Kody Clemens will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Kody Clemens has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 12.1% to 25%.

Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Herrera
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The switch-hitting Jose Herrera will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Jose Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Generally, having the smallest outfield among all parks makes Citizens Bank Park a good place for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today. The switch-hitting Jose Herrera will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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