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Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 13.4% to 9.7%.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 13.4% to 9.7%.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 9.8% on the season to 5% in the past week's worth of games. Jeff McNeil has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last 14 days.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 9.8% on the season to 5% in the past week's worth of games. Jeff McNeil has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last 14 days.

Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narvaez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder in today's matchup.

Omar Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage over Bryce Elder in today's matchup.

Eduardo Escobar Total Hits Props • NY Mets

E. Escobar
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Extreme groundball hitters like Eduardo Escobar tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Eduardo Escobar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Extreme groundball hitters like Eduardo Escobar tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best batter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best batter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Daniel Vogelbach has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Daniel Vogelbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daniel Vogelbach has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Daniel Vogelbach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Marcell Ozuna in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Marcell Ozuna in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Truist Park grades out as the #9 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest CF fences in the league. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather of the day at 84°.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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