All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 2, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
+130 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.61 |
-140
|
u8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +155 
|
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Millers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in Mariners last 9 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts as an underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Sandovals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Sandovals last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-125
|
o7.0 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.08 |
+117 
|
u7.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -152
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 9-0 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 8-0 in Ceases last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a favorite.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cantillos last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Cantillos last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+183
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+137
|
o8.5 -118
|
+1.5 -159
|
|
4.86 |
-145
|
u9.5 -166
|
-1.5 +140
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 road starts.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+160
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.56 |
-160
|
u8.5 -117
|
-1.5 +125
|
NY Mets
- Over is 8-0-1 in Mets last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rays are 4-0 in Jaxs last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. National League East.
- Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
-102
|
o8.0 -152
|
+1.5 -215
|
|
4.66 |
-106
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +175
|
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a road underdog.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Colt Keith o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
-153
|
o7.5 -148
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.07 |
+143
|
u8.5 -118 
|
+1.5 -120
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Brewers are 6-0 in Misiorowskis last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in Petersons last 6 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+257)
o0.5+257
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
+104
|
o8.0 -155
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.93 |
-110
|
u9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -178 
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Perezs last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Royals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.16 |
+125
|
o8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.46 |
-131
|
u9.0 -139
|
-1.5 +152
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Houston
- Under is 4-0-1 in Wesneskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Astros are 4-0 in Wesneskis last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
u1.5-180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.96 |
-155
|
o6.5 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
3.46 |
+147
|
u6.5 -105
|
+1.5 -130
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Detmers' last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Detmers' last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.32 |
+224
|
o7.0 -174
|
+1.5 +100
|
|
4.81 |
-250
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 -106
|
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Yamamotos last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
o1.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.45 |
+136
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
|
5.61 |
-155
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.65 |
-105
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
|
3.92 |
-105
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -185
|
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.93 |
+143
|
o8.0 -122
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
|
4.56 |
-153
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Houston
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.80 |
-108
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
|
4.78 |
+101
|
u8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -170
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.07 |
-125
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.32 |
+110
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.20 |
-112
|
o8.5 -135
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
|
5.22 |
+110
|
u9.0 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Royals last 4 interleague home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.32 |
-125
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.51 |
+110
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 on grass.
Texas
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 on grass.
- Over is 10-1 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.01 |
+176
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -126
|
|
|
4.56 |
-210
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +110
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.19 |
+245
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 +105
|
|
|
4.63 |
-270
|
u8.0 -125
|
-1.5 -125
|
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
LA Dodgers
- Under is 7-0 in Dodgers last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.13 |
-110
|
o8.5 +155
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
|
4.13 |
-110
|
-- |
+1.5 -190
|
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mizes last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Mizes last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mizes last 4 starts on grass.
- Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
SEA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 2 • 4:10 PM ET
Outs Recorded
Bryce Miller u15.5 Outs Recorded (-116)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Bryce Miller was just demoted to the bullpen before an injury to the Seattle rotation sent him back to a starting role. The demotion was warranted, as he has been one of the worst second-half pitchers in baseball, with the fifth-worst ERA and 10th-worst FIP. He threw 104 pitches in his last start, a season-high, and still recorded just 13 outs. He has failed to get beyond 15 outs in three of his last four outings. The command is lacking, and the ball is leaving the park, as Miller has allowed a home run in eight straight starts. There isn't much trust in Miller right now, and the middle of the Seattle bullpen is fresh. For a pitcher who has reached 91+ pitches in just 29% of his starts, expecting him to get back to that range after a demotion is a tough ask. The market is already as low as -140 at some books.
Total Home Runs
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
This is the best bat over the last two weeks vs. a pitcher who was demoted to the bullpen, owns a 7.18 ERA since the break, and is starting because of injuries. Mickey Gasper is slugging 1.077 over his last 11 games with five dingers over those last 14 days. His damage is coming vs. right-handed pitching, with 100% of his dingers coming vs. them. Since being called up, he is slashing .394/.565/1.121, which is ridiculous. Today's matchup should be circled for Mickey and all bettors. Bryce Miller was demoted to the pen but didn't throw a pitch there because of other injuries. He threw a season-high 104 pitches in his last outing on August 23 and has given up a home run in all but one of his last 12 starts, with multi-HR games in 33% of those. Miller has been one of the worst starters in baseball per ERA in the second half of the season. I'd play this matchup to 5x.
TOR
@
CLE
Wed, Sep 2 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+380)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Kazuma Okamoto is always a good bet to go yard on any given night. He's already registered a dinger against Joey Cantillo, and owns a .860 OPS against lefties this season. I'll fire him up against a pitcher rocking a 38.8% hard-hit rate.
Hits Allowed
Dylan Cease u4.5 Hits Allowed (-130)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Dylan Cease has coughed up more than four hits just once in over a month and is in a prime position to limit the Cleveland Guardians' bats tonight. Across 114 plate appearances, the Guardians own just a .388 xSLG - hard contact from this lineup comes few and far between when the Cy Young odds candidate is on the bump, which puts us in a good spot to fly Under the number.
SF
@
PIT
Wed, Sep 2 • 6:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-122)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Rafael Devers enters tonight as one of the highest-rated hitters on the slate after homering in back-to-back games. While some may be hesitant to back a hitter coming off consecutive home runs, the numbers suggest otherwise. Across 36 elite ratings this season, Devers has surpassed this prop 58.33% of the time and has homered more than 25% of the time. He draws Pirates right-hander Bubba Chandler, against whom Devers has nearly 90% arsenal coverage. Devers has also been outstanding over his last 10 games, posting a .789 SLG, .421 ISO, 51.7% hard-hit rate and 17.2% barrel rate.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
NYM
@
TB
Wed, Sep 2 • 6:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Griffin Jax u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+104)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Let's keep it simple off the top: Griffin Jax is coming off the IL after throwing just 42 pitches in his only rehab start. He has been dealing with right elbow discomfort, which is a major red flag, and pushing him much past 60 pitches today seems unlikely. There is also a chance he is innings-capped, as Tampa should be cautious with Jax with a long playoff run on the horizon. He's better than a K-per-inning pitcher, but getting to 15 outs is doubtful today. That was his leash on a full workload; now it could be cut in half. The Rays have all of their middle relievers and long arms available today, giving them little reason to push Jax deep into this game. The market is already moving, and THE BAT is projecting 60 pitches, with a fair price of -150 on this total at that pitch count.
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+300)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Junior Caminero hits lefties and righties well but he has produced more power vs. the latter, with an ISO of more than .260.
Justin Hagenman relied primarily on cutters, sliders, and sinkers when pitching in the majors last season. Caminero has a strong track record facing those pitches, recording an ISO of .225 or higher against each of them.
DET
@
MIN
Wed, Sep 2 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total Home Runs (+980)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Torres has the deepest history against Kremer to draw from, and at 9 cents, we'll take that type of value to the bank. Owning a respectable .714 OPS in August with a homer already against the righty, we're going to ride with him to take his old friend over the wall. He's undoubtedly the best bang for your buck on the board.
Total Home Runs
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total Home Runs (+571)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
You can never go wrong with fading Dean Kremer for homers. He is one of a handful of starters this year to allow four home runs in a game, and his HR/9 is the worst of any starter on today's slate and better than only 13 other starters in all of baseball. He gives up a ton of fly balls with just a 37% groundball rate, and when that ball does go in the air, it leaves the yard more often than not, with baseball's eighth-worst HR/FB rate. That makes this a price-shopping situation with the Tigers, and getting Kevin McGonigle at more than 5x is a no-brainer. He's 2-for-2 against Kremer in a small sample, but the bigger value is that he ranks the third-most probable Tiger to go deep while carrying a much longer price than the two bats ahead of him.
MIL
@
CHC
Wed, Sep 2 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Chourio sports a .194 ISO against lefties and is rolling along a six-game hitting streak to the tune of three homers with a .481 wOBA and .370 ISO. With perfect hitting conditions at Wrigley Field tonight, Chourio is trading at a fair price to tee off at the Friendly Confines.
Total
u8.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Brewers righty Jacob Misiorowski paces qualified starters in xERA, xFIP, and strikeout percentage while holding opposing hitters to the lowest barrel percentage, and he's also held the Cubs to a minuscule .202 wOBA and .422 OPS in two starts this season. Chicago lefty David Peteron has also allowed two runs or fewer in seven of his past eight starts, so I'm not expecting runs in bunches again tonight at Wrigley Field.
MIA
@
KC
Wed, Sep 2 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
KC (-107)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
Noah Cameron has been lights out. He owns a 1.29 ERA over his last seven starts, including four scoreless outings, and now faces a Marlins lineup ranked 26th in OPS against lefties over the past month. Eury Perez has been less reliable on the road, while Kansas City has crushed right-handed pitching and won seven of its last eight at home. Add in Miami's inefficient bullpen and a fair price at home, and there’s plenty of ammo to pull the trigger on the KC.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest weather of the day at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
CHW
@
HOU
Wed, Sep 2 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+300)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Alvarez has hit 28 of his 37 home runs against righties with an eye-popping .310 ISO, so this is a great matchup for him to leave the yard again tonight. Chicago starter Davis Martin has surrendered a massive .430 wOBA and .196 ISO to left-handed hitters across his past 11 starts, after all.
Total
u8.5 (+101)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Houston has trended to the Under at home of late and ranks 29th in xwOBA over the past 30 days, so Chicago starter Davis Martin is set up for success after firing five scoreless innings during his rehab assignment with Triple-A Charlotte on Aug. 27. Additionally, Astros starter Hayden Wesneski has found a groove with just a single run allowed on four hits for a 2.64 xERA across his past two starts.
NYY
@
LAA
Wed, Sep 2 • 9:38 PM ET
Moneyline
NYY (-155)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Los Angeles Angels slot 28th in wOBA and 29th in K% against right-handed pitching the past month, and now they draw Cam Schlittler.
Schlittler ranks in the 98th percentile in Pitching Run Value and 94th percentile in K% this season. He also owns a remarkably strong 1.14 ERA over 15 starts away from Yankee Stadium.
You’d be hard pressed to find a worse matchup for the Angels to get going offensively.
Total Home Runs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ben Rice hits for real power against pitchers of both handedness, making him a real threat no matter who is in the game.
Reid Detmers attacks righties with a steady diet of fastballs and sliders. That sets up well for Rice, who has generated a .388 ISO and 17.8% barrel rate against those two pitches – both of which are elite outputs.
STL
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 2 • 10:10 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (+102)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
The Cardinals have yet to announce their starter, but while I think the Dodgers will do enough to cover, their offense has struggled recently. The Under has covered in four of their last five games, and shouldn't have an issue with Yamamoto on the mound tonight.
Total Home Runs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
The Cardinals have yet to announce their starter, but while I think the Dodgers will do enough to cover, their offense has struggled recently. The Under has covered in four of their last five games, and shouldn't have an issue with Yamamoto on the mound tonight.
MIL
@
CHC
Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-122)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Kevin Gausman has a chance to right the ship when he faces a Brewers club batting just .200/.252/.323 against him. With Logan Henderson sporting a BB% in the 87th percentile and a K% in the 92nd, expect runs to be at a premium at Wrigley.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
