LIVE Bottom 1st Mar 14
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Miami @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Miami

Y. Gurriel
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Yuli Gurriel in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the game for righty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Yuli Gurriel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yuli Gurriel's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 38.7% on the season to 30.8% in the last 14 days.

Yuli Gurriel

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Yuli Gurriel in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the game for righty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Yuli Gurriel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yuli Gurriel's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 38.7% on the season to 30.8% in the last 14 days.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-220
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-220
Projection Rating

Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the game for righty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Jorge Soler's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (3.4° in the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 18.1° seasonal mark.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in the game for righty BABIP, via THE BAT projection system. Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Jorge Soler's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (3.4° in the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 18.1° seasonal mark.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Wendle
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Joey Wendle in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Joey Wendle is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami

G. Hampson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Garrett Hampson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Garrett Hampson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. Garrett Hampson has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Michael Chavis Total Hits Props • Washington

M. Chavis
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Michael Chavis in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Michael Chavis will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Michael Chavis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Michael Chavis in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Michael Chavis will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and moreover, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Lane Thomas is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.8-mph average.

Luis Garcia Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Garcia
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Luis Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Luis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Luis Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
designated hitter DH • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Stone Garrett in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Stone Garrett is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Stone Garrett will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Stone Garrett in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Stone Garrett is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a huge platoon split. Stone Garrett will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin today... and even more favorably, Corbin has a large platoon split. Nick Fortes has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Nick Fortes has been very consistent with his recently, posting a 33.7° launch angle standard deviation in the last 14 days.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Nick Fortes will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin today... and even more favorably, Corbin has a large platoon split. Nick Fortes has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Nick Fortes has been very consistent with his recently, posting a 33.7° launch angle standard deviation in the last 14 days.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dominic Smith has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week. Dominic Smith has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dominic Smith has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past week. Dominic Smith has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Stallings
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Jacob Stallings will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and moreover, Corbin has a large platoon split. Jacob Stallings has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Stallings's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 15.9% on the season to 66.7% over the last 7 days.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°. Jacob Stallings will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and moreover, Corbin has a large platoon split. Jacob Stallings has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Stallings's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 15.9% on the season to 66.7% over the last 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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