BOS -121 o7.5
MIA +112 u7.5
STL +109 o8.5
PIT -118 u8.5
CHW +187 o8.5
CLE -205 u8.5
NYM -123 o9.0
WAS +113 u9.0
CIN +162 o8.5
NYY -177 u8.5
HOU -108 o8.5
TOR -100 u8.5
SF +179 o7.5
ATL -197 u7.5
PHI -112 o7.5
CHC +103 u7.5
SD +126 o9.0
TEX -137 u9.0
TB +102 o8.0
KC -110 u8.0
DET +152 o9.0
MIN -165 u9.0
MIL -165 o12.0
COL +151 u12.0
LAA -108 o8.5
OAK +100 u8.5
AZ +170 o9.0
LAD -187 u9.0
BAL +118 o7.0
SEA -128 u7.0
Apple TV+

New York @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Pham
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today. Tommy Pham has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.5-mph average to last season's 93.8-mph EV.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today. Tommy Pham has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.5-mph average to last season's 93.8-mph EV.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Starling Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Starling Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams today. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams today. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 18th-best hitter in the league, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 18th-best hitter in the league, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Bryce Harper has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Bryce Harper has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams today. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams today. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. Brandon Marsh has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. Brandon Marsh has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest out of all the teams today.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

Daniel Vogelbach has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Daniel Vogelbach has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for HRs. The weather forecast the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast