Atlanta @ Cincinnati props

Graham Ashcraft will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 96.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 90-mph over the last week. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 40.9% to 35.9%. Marcell Ozuna has recorded a .243 BABIP this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, compiling a .358 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .030 difference.

Elly De La Cruz has been cold of late, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Elly De La Cruz has displayed some bad exit velocity statistics of late, averaging just 78.1-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks. Elly De La Cruz has struggled to lift the ball lately, putting up a -0.5° launch angle over the last two weeks.

Kevin Newman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 11th-deepest CF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Votto has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and the cherry on top, Shuster has a large platoon split.

THE BAT X projects Matt McLain in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°.

Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Orlando Arcia has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph. Orlando Arcia has compiled a .372 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Nick Senzel will hold the platoon advantage over Jared Shuster today... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #9 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Curt Casali will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster today... and the cherry on top, Shuster has a large platoon split.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ozzie Albies has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Austin Riley has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.