LIVE Bottom 1st Mar 14
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Minnesota @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Sonny Gray Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 90.4-mph over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has recorded a .261 BABIP this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his weak side (0) today against Sonny Gray Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 90.4-mph over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has recorded a .261 BABIP this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 40.5% to 53.5%. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 53.5% on the season to 77.8% in the past week.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 40.5% to 53.5%. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 53.5% on the season to 77.8% in the past week.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Royce Lewis has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph. Royce Lewis has been hot recently, tallying a .374 wOBA over the last two weeks.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Royce Lewis has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph. Royce Lewis has been hot recently, tallying a .374 wOBA over the last two weeks.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Kyle Farmer has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 49.2% to 55.1%.

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Kyle Farmer has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 49.2% to 55.1%.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Willi Castro is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Willi Castro is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Truist Park ranks as the #8 park in the game for RHB base hits, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Max Kepler is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Max Kepler is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Edouard Julien as the 20th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Edouard Julien as the 20th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park projects as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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