LIVE Top 1st Mar 14
LAA 0 +0 o0.0
OAK 0 +0 u0.0
LIVE Bottom 1st Mar 14
SEA 0 -119 o11.5
CLE 0 +102 u11.5
LIVE Bottom 1st Mar 14
CIN 0 +0 o0.0
CHW 0 +0 u0.0
LIVE Top 1st Mar 14
CIN 0 +140 o10.5
AZ 0 -180 u10.5
LIVE Top 1st Mar 14
SF 2 +126 o11.0
MIL 0 -148 u11.0
LIVE Top 1st Mar 14
KC 0 +0 o0.0
LAA 0 +0 u0.0
LIVE Top 1st Mar 14
BOS 0 -107 o7.5
MIA 0 -109 u7.5
TOR +116 o8.0
HOU -135 u8.0
MIN +0 o0.0
BAL +0 u0.0
DET +118 o8.5
PIT -138 u8.5
TB +0 o0.0
MIN +0 u0.0
STL +139
NYM -164
PHI +119
NYY -139
COL +0 o0.0
TEX +0 u0.0
TEX +0 o0.0
SD +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
WAS 5 +161 o8.5
ATL 3 -191 u8.5
TBS, Bally Sports Network

Minnesota @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Christian Vazquez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.9-mph EV. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 18.5% on the season to 30% over the past two weeks.

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Christian Vazquez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.9-mph EV. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 18.5% on the season to 30% over the past two weeks.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

B. Buxton
designated hitter DH • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Edouard Julien will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Edouard Julien will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Orlando Arcia tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Orlando Arcia tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Royce Lewis has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph. Royce Lewis has been hot recently, cruising to a .374 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Royce Lewis has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph. Royce Lewis has been hot recently, cruising to a .374 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Truist Park ranks as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ozzie Albies will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ozzie Albies has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ozzie Albies will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Joey Gallo Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Gallo
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Joey Gallo will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball bats like Joey Gallo tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Joey Gallo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Joey Gallo will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball bats like Joey Gallo tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today's matchup.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Olson projects as the 13th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today's matchup.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Eddie Rosario has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last two weeks.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Eddie Rosario has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last two weeks.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Max Kepler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Max Kepler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. The Atlanta Braves have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast