Washington @ Seattle props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Derek Hill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.262) implies that Derek Hill has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .242 actual wOBA.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Checking in at the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Riley Adams has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Riley Adams is in the 78th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.7% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Lane Thomas has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 19.4% in the last 14 days. Lane Thomas has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 94.3-mph.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Jeimer Candelario's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 37.3% to 43%.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Keibert Ruiz's 54.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.7%. As it relates to his batting average, Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year. His .231 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276. In terms of plate discipline, Keibert Ruiz's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert today. Dominic Smith has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Dominic Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 89.7-mph. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 46.2% on the season to 66.7% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Joey Meneses has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Joey Meneses has compiled a .360 BABIP this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Corey Dickerson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Sporting a .267 batting average since the start of last season, Corey Dickerson finds himself in the 79th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Eugenio Suarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Jose Caballero will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.8°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.3° mark over the past 14 days. Jose Caballero has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 91st percentile with a 1.44 K/BB rate.

Tom Murphy will have the handedness advantage against Patrick Corbin today. Tom Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Tom Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Checking in at the 75th percentile, Ildemaro Vargas has notched a .264 batting average since the start of last season.

Dylan Moore will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Moore has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .331 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .373. Dylan Moore's 14% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game. CJ Abrams's launch angle this year (10.1°) is significantly better than his 6.6° figure last year.

Luis Garcia has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

AJ Pollock has not yet played a game this season.

J.P. Crawford has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Teoscar Hernandez has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Ty France has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jarred Kelenic has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Julio Rodriguez has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.