MLBN, SNY, Bally Sports Network

Milwaukee @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Wade Miley will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Miley's large platoon split. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wade Miley will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Miley's large platoon split. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Winker
designated hitter DH • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesse Winker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jesse Winker is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesse Winker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Joey Wiemer Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Wiemer
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Joey Wiemer hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today. Joey Wiemer has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the past two weeks.

Joey Wiemer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Joey Wiemer hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today. Joey Wiemer has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 27.8% in the past two weeks.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

R. Tellez
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Willy Adames pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Willy Adames pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley today... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley today... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Mark Canha will have the handedness advantage over Wade Miley in today's matchup... and even better, Miley has a large platoon split. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Mark Canha will have the handedness advantage over Wade Miley in today's matchup... and even better, Miley has a large platoon split. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Wade Miley... and even better, Miley has a large platoon split.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Wade Miley... and even better, Miley has a large platoon split.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 18th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Christian Yelich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 18th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Christian Yelich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today.

Brian Anderson Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Anderson
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brian Anderson in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Brian Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brian Anderson in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Luis Urias Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

L. Urias
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Luis Urias pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today. Luis Urias's launch angle in recent games (28.3° in the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 19.3° seasonal angle.

Luis Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Luis Urias pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today. Luis Urias's launch angle in recent games (28.3° in the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 19.3° seasonal angle.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Pham
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Miley has a large platoon split.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tommy Pham is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Miley has a large platoon split.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's matchup... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's matchup... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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