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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 20, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.26 |
-164 
|
o7.5 -129
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
3.48 |
+145 
|
u8.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -118 
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Sanchezs last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 9-1 in Sanchezs last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Phillies are 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road underdog.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
o0.5+173
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.01 |
-120
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
5.10 |
+105 
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -167
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Royals are 5-1 in Wachas last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Bachars last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
o0.5+189
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+128
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
3.79 |
-142 
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +158
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Jaxs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+139)
o0.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.51 |
+198
|
o7.0 -125
|
+1.5 -113
|
|
4.67 |
-230
|
u7.5 -123
|
-1.5 +104
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Guardians last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+257)
o0.5+257
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.06 |
-150 
|
o9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.95 |
+133
|
u10.0 -115
|
+1.5 -121
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
+120
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.91 |
-136
|
u8.5 -122
|
-1.5 +150
|
Atlanta
- Over is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 vs. American League West.
Houston
- Astros are 8-1 in Browns last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
o0.5+217
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+102
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.60 |
-116
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +165
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 10-1 in Martins last 11 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Top Projection
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+126
|
o8.5 -134
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
4.92 |
-140
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.71 |
+145
|
o7.5 -124
|
+1.5 -143
|
|
4.13 |
-162
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
Toronto
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League West.
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in deGroms last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.58 |
-155
|
o10.5 -120
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.05 |
+141
|
u11.0 -119
|
+1.5 -110
|
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Colorado
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rockies last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Suganos last 5 interleague starts.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+109)
o0.5+109
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.67 |
-120
|
o8.0 -143
|
+1.5 -250
|
|
4.29 |
+105
|
u8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +200
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jose Siri o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+116
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.41 |
-134
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +165
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 starts on grass.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
-110
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -240
|
|
4.61 |
-105
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +190
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 road games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. American League East.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.93 |
+225
|
o7.5 -134
|
+1.5 +101
|
|
5.61 |
-270
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 -117
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
-200
|
o7.0 -150
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
3.67 |
+180
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 +100
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 interleague starts.
- Orioles are 5-1 in Youngs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+422)
o0.5+425
PHI
@
NYM
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among every team today.
Total RBIs
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 20th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Trea Turner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, putting up a .293 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .036 deviation.
KC
@
PIT
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
PIT (-120)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park profiles as the #7 field in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most humidity on the slate at 90%.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.
BOS
@
TB
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 park in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Griffin Jax in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Tropicana Field.. Over the past week, Trevor Story's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.8%.. Trevor Story has posted a .350 BABIP this year, grading out in the 90th percentile.
ATH
@
CLE
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.25
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 5th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an edge in today's game.. Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Home Runs
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Shea Langeliers has recorded a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
CHC
@
CIN
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Michael Conforto u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Michael Conforto is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Michael Conforto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Michael Conforto has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week's worth of games.. Michael Conforto has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 85.2-mph over the past 14 days.
Total Home Runs
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total Home Runs (+434)
Projection 0.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, JJ Bleday ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like JJ Bleday tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.
ATL
@
HOU
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+406)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Ronald Acuna Jr. leads MLB with seven dingers in September, including three in his last four games.
The Braves star has an insane .714 SLG and 1.096 OPS this month, while he also carries a .444 average and 1.111 OPS in his career when facing Astros starter Hunter Brown.
Total
u8.5 (-123)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Martin Perez has been solid down the stretch, and he'll be backed up by a Braves bullpen that ranks third in ERA (3.41).
Atlanta should be able to quell a Houston offense that’s averaging just 2.89 runs per game over their last nine contests, with three runs or fewer in six of those outings.
DET
@
CHW
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best park in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Bases
John Peck o1.5 Total Bases (+226)
Projection 1.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects John Peck in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to righties.. John Peck has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. In the last two weeks, John Peck's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 57.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.
WAS
@
STL
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Quinn Mathews throws from, Dylan Crews will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Dylan Crews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
TOR
@
TEX
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Despite posting a .323 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes George Springer has experienced some negative variance given the .023 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .346.. By putting up a .411 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, George Springer is ranked in the 99th percentile for hitting ability.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst park in the game for run-scoring.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field's CF dimensions are the 6th-deepest.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Braydon Fisher throws from, Wyatt Langford will not have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of every team playing today.
SEA
@
COL
Sun, Sep 20 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Lazaro Montes o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lazaro Montes in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Lazaro Montes will have the handedness advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup.. Lazaro Montes is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tomoyuki Sugano in this game.
MIN
@
LAA
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+275)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Jose Siri ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
MB
Moises Ballesteros u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Moises Ballesteros has been pinch hit for 32% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 3rd-worst park in the majors for run-scoring.. Moises Ballesteros has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Moises Ballesteros has compiled a .289 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 14th percentile.. Moises Ballesteros has notched a .364 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.
MIA
@
SD
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the league.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Joe Mack will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game.. Joe Mack has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 92.2-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Total Hits
Dustin Harris u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
20% of the time that Dustin Harris has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Dustin Harris pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Dustin Harris has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .282 figure is a fair amount higher than his .176 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Dustin Harris has compiled a .232 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 12th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
NYY
@
AZ
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (-103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Ketel Marte o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 4th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
MIL
@
BAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+323)
Projection 1.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Colton Cowser ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences among all major league parks.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand today.. Colton Cowser will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
