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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 24, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.90 |
+138 
|
o6.5 -130 
|
+1.5 -167
|
|
4.57 |
-155 
|
u7.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +150 
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Leahys last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Leahys last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Leahys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.48 |
-125
|
o8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
5.04 |
+112
|
u9.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -148
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games.
- Over is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Royals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.28 |
+170
|
o7.0 -155
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.27 |
-195
|
u7.5 -108
|
-1.5 +120
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Nico Hoerner u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
u0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.79 |
+111
|
o8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.58 |
-125 
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +171
|
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Texas
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rangers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games.
- Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Rangers last 10 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.39 |
-177
|
o10.0 -115
|
-1.5 -112
|
|
4.94 |
+158
|
u10.5 -120 
|
+1.5 +100
|
Arizona
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 9-0 in Rodriguezs last 9 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+100
|
o8.5 -104
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.71 |
-115
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 8-1-1 in Brewers last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 overall.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.66 |
+120
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -186
|
|
4.27 |
-134
|
u7.5 -114
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Daniel Espino o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)
o1.5-130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.62 |
+130
|
o6.5 -114
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.06 |
-145
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +162
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 overall.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 home starts.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+185
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -118
|
|
5.34 |
-210
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +106
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-0-1 in Singers last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Reds last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Reds last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts.
- Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
o1.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 |
+168
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -134
|
|
4.19 |
-195
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +120
|
LA Angels
- Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+350)
o0.5+350
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.41 |
-155
|
o11.0 -115
|
-1.5 -104
|
|
5.43 |
+138
|
u11.5 -125
|
+1.5 -110
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 11-1 in last 12 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Christian Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-150)
o1.5-150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+155
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -139
|
|
4.47 |
-170
|
u7.5 -109
|
-1.5 +130
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in Pivettas last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
o1.5+185
STL
@
PIT
Thu, Sep 24 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.
CHW
@
KC
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Michael Massey o0.5 Total RBIs (+257)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage over David Sandlin in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+129)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Carter Jensen ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that David Sandlin throws from, Carter Jensen will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Carter Jensen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
MIA
@
CHC
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Hits
Nico Hoerner u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. Batting from the same side that Tyler Phillips throws from, Nico Hoerner will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heriberto Hernandez today.
NYM
@
TEX
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 117° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Wyatt Langford will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Thornton in today's game.. Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 117° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Given Kumar Rocker's large platoon split, Juan Soto will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
AZ
@
COL
Thu, Sep 24 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Karros o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-106)
Projection 2.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Kyle Karros is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Kyle Karros will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage today.
MIL
@
PHI
Thu, Sep 24 • 6:05 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Andrew Painter u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 4.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Andrew Painter is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers today.. With 6 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Andrew Painter will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Colton Gordon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Harper today.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
CLE
@
BOS
Thu, Sep 24 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Trevor Story u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Trevor Story is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching of all games today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces.. Daniel Espino will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Story today.
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Espino in today's game.. Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
TB
@
NYY
Thu, Sep 24 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Victor Mesa Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Victor Mesa Jr. has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Victor Mesa Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Schlittler in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Spencer Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Spencer Jones is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching of all games today.. Batting from the same side that Ian Seymour throws from, Spencer Jones will not have the upper hand today.. Spencer Jones has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense profiles as the best out of every team today.
CIN
@
ATL
Thu, Sep 24 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 17th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate today at 77%.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate today at 77%.. Considering Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Drake Baldwin will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Drake Baldwin has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
LAA
@
SEA
Thu, Sep 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
SEA (-204)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo has dominated Angels hitters in the past, limiting them to a .190 batting average and .442 OPS. Meanwhile, Grayson Rodriguez's struggles have continued, as he owns a 5.58 xERA and a hard-hit rate that ranks in the fourth percentile, according to Baseball Savant. Seattle is playable on the ML to -220.
Total Hits
Jose Siri u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jose Siri is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.. Bryan Woo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Siri in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Woo's large platoon split.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Siri in today's matchup.
HOU
@
ATH
Thu, Sep 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jonah Heim u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will bat from his worse side against Peter Lambert in this game.. In today's game, Jonah Heim is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.9% rate (97th percentile).
Total RBIs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.. Among every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.
SD
@
LAD
Thu, Sep 24 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
SD (+155)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
I'll back the San Diego Padres at 39%, as there's an edge at that price. I make them closer to a 44% underdog in this matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers have already clinched a bye and are always focused on postseason baseball, so there's little incentive to push their key players in a game like this. Tyler Glasnow is an important piece of their potential World Series run, but given his history of durability issues, I don't expect to see a high pitch count from him on Thursday. Dave Roberts should be cautious with his workload. The Padres, meanwhile, are locked in a three-way battle for positioning in the Wild Card round and should be approaching this game with a much greater sense of urgency. I expect San Diego to be aggressive with its high-leverage relievers, which gives the Padres an edge in a game where the Dodgers have less to play for.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
