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Arizona @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-180
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst park in the league for righty batting average. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over Bo Bichette today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. Over the past 14 days, Bo Bichette's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 94.8 mph to 91.6 mph.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst park in the league for righty batting average. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over Bo Bichette today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. Over the past 14 days, Bo Bichette's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 94.8 mph to 91.6 mph.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst park in the league for righty batting average. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. George Springer's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (8.1°) is significantly lower than his 11.5° angle last season.

George Springer

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-worst park in the league for righty batting average. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams in action today. George Springer's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (8.1°) is significantly lower than his 11.5° angle last season.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. In the past 7 days, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 20%. Ketel Marte has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.8-mph mark.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. In the past 7 days, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 20%. Ketel Marte has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 99.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.8-mph mark.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 20.7%. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.7%. Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 95th percentile with a 1.25 K/BB rate.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 20.7%. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.7%. Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 95th percentile with a 1.25 K/BB rate.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88-mph mark. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (18.4°) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° mark last year.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88-mph mark. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (18.4°) is quite a bit better than his 14.5° mark last year.

Brandon Belt Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Belt
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Belt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Belt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Belt in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Belt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Kevin Kiermaier's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kevin Kiermaier's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Jake McCarthy's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jake McCarthy's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 17.6% on the season to 26.3% in the last 14 days. Christian Walker has recorded a .363 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 17.6% on the season to 26.3% in the last 14 days. Christian Walker has recorded a .363 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Kelly
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Whit Merrifield's launch angle in recent games (19.7° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 13.8° seasonal angle. By putting up a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Whit Merrifield grades out in the 90th percentile.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Whit Merrifield will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Whit Merrifield's launch angle in recent games (19.7° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 13.8° seasonal angle. By putting up a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Whit Merrifield grades out in the 90th percentile.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk given the .054 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .336. By putting up a 1.34 K/BB rate this year, Alejandro Kirk has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 95th percentile.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk given the .054 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .336. By putting up a 1.34 K/BB rate this year, Alejandro Kirk has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 95th percentile.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.9% rate last year to 18.6% this year.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.9% rate last year to 18.6% this year.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage in today's game. Cavan Biggio has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 7% rate last season to 14.1% this year. Cavan Biggio has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph figure.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre. Cavan Biggio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Cavan Biggio will hold that advantage in today's game. Cavan Biggio has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 7% rate last season to 14.1% this year. Cavan Biggio has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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