MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 16, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Aug 16 • 12:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total RBIs (+241)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O'Neill as MLB's 20th-best home run hitter.. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Tropicana Field projects as the #4 field in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+140)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O'Neill as MLB's 20th-best home run hitter.. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Tropicana Field projects as the #4 field in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Aug 16 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Hits
Nick Sogard logo
Nick Sogard u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Sogard is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.. Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all stadiums.. The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Paul Skenes. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Sogard in today's matchup.. In the past week, Nick Sogard's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 7.7%.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Esmerlyn Valdez logo
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Esmerlyn Valdez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. PNC Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is forecasted to have the highest humidity on the schedule today (89%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Because of Patrick Sandoval's large platoon split, Esmerlyn Valdez will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, Aug 16 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 94°.. Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 94°.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Aug 16 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Bases
Daz Cameron logo
Daz Cameron o1.5 Total Bases (+252)
Projection 1.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Daz Cameron is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Daz Cameron will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's matchup.. Daz Cameron hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Daz Cameron will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage in today's game.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, JJ Bleday will have an edge today.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Griffin Conine logo
Griffin Conine o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Griffin Conine pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Griffin Conine's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18% up to 40%.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Tanner Bibee has a 6.00 ERA through two starts in August, and the Padres are batting .423 against him as a team all-time (65 at-bats). Casey Mize exits his first quality start in a San Diego uniform, and has both a terrific bullpen and a red-hot offense to back him up.

Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 3rd-most humidity of the day at 84%.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
New York Mets logo NYM (-157)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Jake Irvin's ERA is 5.79 and climbing because teams are barreling him up early and often (third percentile). The Mets (sixth in barrel rate) will tee off on him and Washington's dismal bullpen, which ranks dead-last by xERA this month. Play to -170.

Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Francisco Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Francisco Alvarez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 95.9-mph.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Dillon Dingler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Anderson logo
Drew Anderson o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 5.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Drew Anderson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Dillon Dingler (the Tigers's expected catcher in today's matchup) is considered to be a good pitch framer.. Drew Anderson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.. Among all starters, Drew Anderson's fastball velocity of 94.9 mph is in the 76th percentile this year.. Placing in the 78th percentile, Drew Anderson has compiled a 25.5% K% this year.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Aug 16 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average ability.. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 14.9% on the season to 41.7% in the past 7 days.
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Aug 16 • 3:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the league are found in Wrigley Field.. This game is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Masyn Winn logo
Masyn Winn o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Over the last 7 days, Masyn Winn's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.5%.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. This game is expected to have the most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryce Eldridge's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 91.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 86.7-mph over the past 7 days.. Bryce Eldridge's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, falling from 44% on the season to 30.8% over the last 7 days.. Using Statcast data, Bryce Eldridge grades out in the 3rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .139.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.3-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Gabriel Hughes today.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best venue in MLB for RHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Aug 16 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the league.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, Aug 16 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Bauers ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total Home Runs
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Projection 0.23
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 20th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats.. Freddie Freeman will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Aug 16 • 7:20 PM ET
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

I think both Bryan Woo and Hunter Brown will have their way with the offenses early. However, the Astros have a huge edge in the bullpen battle (sixth vs. 24th in xERA in August) and at the plate (seventh in OPS vs. 28th). Roll with the home team to -140.

Total Bases
Randy Arozarena logo
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. With a .373 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Randy Arozarena grades out in the 93rd percentile.. Randy Arozarena has notched a .291 batting average this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.