NBC Bay Area, Bally Sports Network

San Francisco @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Extreme flyball hitters like Michael Harris II tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Alex Cobb. Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.1°, Michael Harris II has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.6°) in the past two weeks.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Extreme flyball hitters like Michael Harris II tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Alex Cobb. Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.1°, Michael Harris II has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.6°) in the past two weeks.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

The 3rd-deepest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Truist Park. Alex Cobb will have the handedness advantage over Marcell Ozuna today.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The 3rd-deepest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Truist Park. Alex Cobb will have the handedness advantage over Marcell Ozuna today.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. In the past two weeks, Wilmer Flores has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 19.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.5°.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. In the past two weeks, Wilmer Flores has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 19.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.5°.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The 3rd-deepest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Truist Park. Alex Cobb will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The 3rd-deepest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Truist Park. Alex Cobb will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup.

J.D. Davis Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Davis
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. J.D. Davis has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.5-mph.

J.D. Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. J.D. Davis has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.5-mph.

Brandon Crawford Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Crawford
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup.

Brandon Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Patrick Bailey's launch angle of late (24.6° in the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 11.8° seasonal figure.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Patrick Bailey's launch angle of late (24.6° in the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 11.8° seasonal figure.

Wade Meckler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Meckler
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Wade Meckler's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wade Meckler is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.

Wade Meckler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wade Meckler's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wade Meckler is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Orlando Arcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Pederson
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Blake Sabol Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Sabol
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 83°. Blake Sabol will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider today. In the past week's worth of games, Blake Sabol's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%.

Blake Sabol

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 83°. Blake Sabol will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider today. In the past week's worth of games, Blake Sabol's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Cobb today.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Among all stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 82°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Cobb today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast