San Francisco @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. In the last 7 days, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 90.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 85.9-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wade Meckler in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wade Meckler will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Thairo Estrada pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Thairo Estrada has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86-mph mark. Compared to last season, Thairo Estrada has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.2% to 19.5% this season. Ranking in the 86th percentile, Thairo Estrada has notched a .335 BABIP this year.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and moreover, Manaea has a huge platoon split. Johan Rojas pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). J.T. Realmuto will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even more favorably, Manaea has a huge platoon split. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.220) may lead us to conclude that Casey Schmitt has suffered from bad luck this year with his .200 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nick Castellanos will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game... and even better, Manaea has a huge platoon split. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Patrick Bailey sports a .341 BABIP this year.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies. There has been a significant improvement in Wilmer Flores's launch angle from last season's 20.3° to 23.9° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Sabol in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Blake Sabol will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today. Blake Sabol has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 13th-weakest among every team playing today.

Weston Wilson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 8 games.