LIVE Bottom 9th Mar 11
MIA 12 +113 o8.0
STL 5 -132 u8.0
LIVE Top 8th Mar 11
PHI 16 +132 o9.0
BOS 7 -155 u9.0
LAA +142 o13.5
TEX -167 u13.5
COL +143 o14.0
CIN -168 u14.0
MIL +147 o11.5
CHC -172 u11.5
CLE +167 o9.5
LAD -198 u9.5
KC +124 o10.5
AZ -145 u10.5
CHW +170 o10.5
SD -202 u10.5
OAK +125 o10.5
SF -146 u10.5
Final Mar 11
NYM 4 +166 o7.5
HOU 7 -196 u7.5
Final Mar 11
DET 3 +135 o8.0
ATL 1 -158 u8.0
Final Mar 11
BAL 6 +0 o0.0
NYY 2 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 11
NYY 1 +0 o0.0
PIT 9 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 11
MIN 2 +176 o9.0
TOR 3 -209 u9.0
SNY, Bally Sports Network

New York @ Minnesota Props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

R. Mauricio
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+155
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Ronny Mauricio has been hot of late, putting up a .392 wOBA over the past 7 days. In the past 7 days, Ronny Mauricio's maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 117.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the majors.

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Ronny Mauricio has been hot of late, putting up a .392 wOBA over the past 7 days. In the past 7 days, Ronny Mauricio's maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 117.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the majors.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. In the last week's worth of games, Brett Baty's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%. Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .218 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. In the last week's worth of games, Brett Baty's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%. Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .218 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dallas Keuchel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeff McNeil in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's matchup.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dallas Keuchel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeff McNeil in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's matchup.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dallas Keuchel will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dallas Keuchel will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Royce Lewis has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 95.6-mph in the last week.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Royce Lewis has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 95.6-mph in the last week.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Tim Locastro Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Locastro
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Tim Locastro will have the handedness advantage over Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) implies that Tim Locastro has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .261 actual wOBA.

Tim Locastro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Tim Locastro will have the handedness advantage over Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) implies that Tim Locastro has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .261 actual wOBA.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Edouard Julien can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Edouard Julien can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Wallner can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's game. Matt Wallner has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 18.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past week.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Wallner can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's game. Matt Wallner has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 18.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past week.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's game. Christian Vazquez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 88.9-mph over the last 7 days. Last season, Christian Vazquez had an average launch angle of 10.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.4°. Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .222 mark is a good deal lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's game. Christian Vazquez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 88.9-mph over the last 7 days. Last season, Christian Vazquez had an average launch angle of 10.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.4°. Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .222 mark is a good deal lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Weather Forecast

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