New York @ Minnesota Picks & Props

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Ronny Mauricio has been hot of late, putting up a .392 wOBA over the past 7 days. In the past 7 days, Ronny Mauricio's maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 117.3-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. In the last week's worth of games, Brett Baty's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%. Brett Baty has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .218 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dallas Keuchel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeff McNeil in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Francisco Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The weather report forecasts the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dallas Keuchel will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Royce Lewis has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 95.6-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Dallas Keuchel. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Edouard Julien will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Edouard Julien can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Tim Locastro will have the handedness advantage over Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) implies that Tim Locastro has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .261 actual wOBA.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Wallner can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's game. Matt Wallner has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 18.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage in today's game. Christian Vazquez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 88.9-mph over the last 7 days. Last season, Christian Vazquez had an average launch angle of 10.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.4°. Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .222 mark is a good deal lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Ryan Jeffers has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.