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Milwaukee @ New York props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

M. Canha
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+145
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Canha ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Over the last two weeks, Mark Canha's 53.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.9%. Based on Statcast metrics, Mark Canha is in the 76th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .350.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mark Canha ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Over the last two weeks, Mark Canha's 53.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.9%. Based on Statcast metrics, Mark Canha is in the 76th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .350.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

S. Frelick
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+135
Projection Rating

Sal Frelick's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Sal Frelick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Sal Frelick's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Sal Frelick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

A. Monasterio
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Andruw Monasterio has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 46.6% on the season to 51.7% in the last two weeks. Andruw Monasterio's 17.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 81st percentile.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Andruw Monasterio has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 46.6% on the season to 51.7% in the last two weeks. Andruw Monasterio's 17.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 81st percentile.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+125
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the last week, Brice Turang's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.4% up to 9.1%. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 39.6% on the season to 45.5% in the past week's worth of games.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the last week, Brice Turang's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.4% up to 9.1%. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 39.6% on the season to 45.5% in the past week's worth of games.

Oswald Peraza Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Peraza
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Oswald Peraza will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game... and the cherry on top, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Oswald Peraza's true offensive skill to be a .307, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .066 gap between that figure and his actual .241 wOBA.

Oswald Peraza

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Oswald Peraza will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game... and the cherry on top, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Oswald Peraza's true offensive skill to be a .307, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .066 gap between that figure and his actual .241 wOBA.

Everson Pereira Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

E. Pereira
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Everson Pereira will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game... and even more favorably, Miley has a large platoon split. Everson Pereira will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Everson Pereira has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 93.2-mph figure.

Everson Pereira

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Everson Pereira will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wade Miley in today's game... and even more favorably, Miley has a large platoon split. Everson Pereira will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Everson Pereira has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 93.2-mph figure.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Over the last 14 days, Willy Adames has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13% to 18.5%.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Over the last 14 days, Willy Adames has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13% to 18.5%.

Jasson Dominguez Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Dominguez
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Wade Miley... and even better, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage today.

Jasson Dominguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Wade Miley... and even better, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage today.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Aaron Judge will have the handedness advantage over Wade Miley in today's matchup... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Aaron Judge will have the handedness advantage over Wade Miley in today's matchup... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley in today's matchup... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley in today's matchup... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Santana
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In terms of plate discipline, Carlos Santana's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.72 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 84th percentile.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carlos Santana is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In terms of plate discipline, Carlos Santana's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.72 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 84th percentile.

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

K. Higashioka
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Kyle Higashioka will have the handedness advantage over Wade Miley in today's game... and even more favorably, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's game. This year, Kyle Higashioka's 11.6% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Kyle Higashioka's 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 81st percentile this year.

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Kyle Higashioka will have the handedness advantage over Wade Miley in today's game... and even more favorably, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's game. This year, Kyle Higashioka's 11.6% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Kyle Higashioka's 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 81st percentile this year.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Anthony Volpe will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley today... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. In the past 14 days, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph in recent games. Anthony Volpe's launch angle lately (23.7° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 15.1° seasonal figure.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Anthony Volpe will hold the platoon advantage over Wade Miley today... and moreover, Miley has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. In the past 14 days, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph in recent games. Anthony Volpe's launch angle lately (23.7° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 15.1° seasonal figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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