Baltimore @ Boston props

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Justin Turner ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. In the last two weeks, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12% down to 0%. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, falling from 37% on the season to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games. As it relates to his batting average, Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side this year. His .267 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .250.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Chris Sale... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. The #2 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Ramon Urias will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Ramon Urias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Adam Duvall is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Aaron Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Aaron Hicks will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Chris Sale... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. With a 2 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Luis Urias has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Adley Rutschman's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jorge Mateo will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan Mountcastle in today's game. In the past two weeks, Ryan Mountcastle's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 3.4%. Over the last week, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 94.3 mph to 74.3 mph. Ryan Mountcastle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 16.1% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Among all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. In the past week, Alex Verdugo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%. In the last week's worth of games, Alex Verdugo's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The shallowest LF dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.