SNY, Bally Sports Network

New York @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

R. Mauricio
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+135
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Ronny Mauricio has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors in the last week's worth of games — 111.5-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power. Ronny Mauricio has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, angling balls between -4° and 26° 64.3% of the time over the last 7 days.

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. Ronny Mauricio has hit one of the hardest balls in the majors in the last week's worth of games — 111.5-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power. Ronny Mauricio has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, angling balls between -4° and 26° 64.3% of the time over the last 7 days.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+128
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+128
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. In the last 7 days, Brett Baty's 41.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Baty in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. In the last 7 days, Brett Baty's 41.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narvaez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. There has been a significant improvement in Omar Narvaez's launch angle from last year's 17.1° to 21.8° this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.300) suggests that Omar Narvaez has been unlucky this year with his .247 actual wOBA.

Omar Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Omar Narvaez will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. There has been a significant improvement in Omar Narvaez's launch angle from last year's 17.1° to 21.8° this season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.300) suggests that Omar Narvaez has been unlucky this year with his .247 actual wOBA.

Rafael Ortega Total Hits Props • NY Mets

R. Ortega
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game. By putting up a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Rafael Ortega has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 88th percentile.

Rafael Ortega

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Rafael Ortega will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game. By putting up a 1.8 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Rafael Ortega has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 88th percentile.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. In the past week, Pete Alonso's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.7% up to 23.1%.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today. In the past week, Pete Alonso's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.7% up to 23.1%.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Polanco
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle recently (32.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 17.5° seasonal mark.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle recently (32.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 17.5° seasonal mark.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Kyle Farmer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Kyle Farmer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Kyle Farmer has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.8-mph average to last year's 85.5-mph mark.

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Kyle Farmer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Kyle Farmer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Kyle Farmer has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.8-mph average to last year's 85.5-mph mark.

Jordan Luplow Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Luplow
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-123
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-123
Projection Rating

Jordan Luplow is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Jordan Luplow will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's game. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Jordan Luplow will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jordan Luplow

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jordan Luplow is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense. Jordan Luplow will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's game. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Jordan Luplow will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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