MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 27, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jun 27 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u1.5 Total Bases (-173)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The league's 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Fenway Park.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.6-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Gerrit Cole will have the handedness advantage against Willson Contreras in today's matchup.. The New York Yankees infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team today.
Total RBIs
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Willson Contreras pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Willson Contreras will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jun 27 • 1:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball bats like Yordan Alvarez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.
Total RBIs
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Isaac Paredes will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.. Batters such as Isaac Paredes with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Framber Valdez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
View 8 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, Jun 27 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in MLB.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #5 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the league.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jun 27 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+221)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #4 field in the league for boosting BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Despite posting a .281 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eugenio Suarez has experienced some negative variance given the .032 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
View 10 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jun 27 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as MLB's 15th-best home run batter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Colson Montgomery will have the upper hand today.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Jac Caglianone is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #7 park in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers.. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Jac Caglianone will have an edge in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jun 27 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.52
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Scott today.. Bryce Harper has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today.. Bryson Stott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph average.
View 3 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jun 27 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 19th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for righty home runs.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cole Sulser.. Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for righty home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Sulser throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an edge in today's game.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.
View 10 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jun 27 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Blaze Alexander logo
Blaze Alexander u0.5 Total Hits (+152)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Blaze Alexander is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. This year, Blaze Alexander has been pulled from the game early in 25% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.. Blaze Alexander's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 61.4% on the season to 52.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Blaze Alexander has been lucky this year, putting up a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .038 disparity.. When it comes to plate discipline, Blaze Alexander's talent is quite bad, sporting a 3.44 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 20th percentile.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Foster Griffin throws from, Pete Alonso will have an advantage today.
View 10 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jun 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison today.. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+179)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, Jun 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Travis Bazzana logo
Travis Bazzana o0.5 Total RBIs (+271)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Travis Bazzana is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits.. Travis Bazzana will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Travis Bazzana will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Slade Cecconi today.
View 10 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jun 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jun 27 • 7:15 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Nathan Church logo
Nathan Church o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Nathan Church will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Gusto today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nathan Church will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jimmy Crooks logo
Jimmy Crooks o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jimmy Crooks's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jimmy Crooks is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have an edge in today's game.
View 5 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, Jun 27 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andy Pages's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums.. Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences among all parks.. Andy Pages's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 43.1% on the season to 56.3% over the past week.
Total RBIs
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums.. Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences among all parks.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, compiling a .296 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .033 deviation.
View 10 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jun 27 • 9:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.4-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
Total RBIs
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.4-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Austin Riley has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 94.1-mph over the last two weeks.. Despite posting a .286 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Austin Riley has had some very poor luck given the .046 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.
View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, Jun 27 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colby Thomas logo
Colby Thomas u1.5 Total Bases (-330)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Colby Thomas has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games on the slate.. Colby Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. With a 6.02 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Colby Thomas has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 14th percentile.
Total Bases
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Max Muncy is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 field in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games on the slate.. Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 11th-deepest LF fences today.. Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
View 10 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 5 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 15 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 8 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.