MLBN, Bally Sports Network, BSOHIO

Cincinnati @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+112
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+112
Projection Rating

Dingers are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the majors. Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.7°, Tommy Edman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.1°) over the past 14 days. Last season, Tommy Edman had a launch angle of 9.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 6.1°. Grading out in the 25th percentile, Tommy Edman has notched a .304 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Checking in at the 13th percentile, Tommy Edman has notched a .270 BABIP this year.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Dingers are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the majors. Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.7°, Tommy Edman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.1°) over the past 14 days. Last season, Tommy Edman had a launch angle of 9.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 6.1°. Grading out in the 25th percentile, Tommy Edman has notched a .304 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year. Checking in at the 13th percentile, Tommy Edman has notched a .270 BABIP this year.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Masyn Winn has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 2.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Masyn Winn has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 2.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • St. Louis

R. Palacios
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Richie Palacios has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile with a 2.34 K/BB rate.

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Richie Palacios will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Richie Palacios has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile with a 2.34 K/BB rate.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Marte
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Noelvi Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Noelvi Marte has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.1-mph.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Noelvi Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Noelvi Marte has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.1-mph.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

C. Encarnacion-Strand
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks.

Luken Baker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Baker
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Luken Baker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Luken Baker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luken Baker will hold that advantage in today's game.

Luken Baker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Luken Baker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Luken Baker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Luken Baker will hold that advantage in today's game.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Elly De La Cruz has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week. Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.4-mph.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Elly De La Cruz has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week. Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.4-mph.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Woodford today. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Will Benson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 95-mph.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Woodford today. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Will Benson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 95-mph.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Steer is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Spencer Steer is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.6% rate this year).

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Steer is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Spencer Steer is in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.6% rate this year).

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jordan Walker's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Williamson in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Jose Fermin Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Fermin
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Jose Fermin will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Williamson today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Jose Fermin will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Fermin is very fast, grading out in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.32 ft/sec this year.

Jose Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 83°. Jose Fermin will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Williamson today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Jose Fermin will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Fermin is very fast, grading out in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.32 ft/sec this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast