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New York @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+200
Projection Rating

Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Salvador Perez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Salvador Perez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

Austin Wells is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 90°. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh today.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Austin Wells is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 90°. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh today.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+160
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+160
Projection Rating

Clarke Schmidt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest RF fences in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 78.1-mph in the last 7 days. In the last week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Clarke Schmidt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will be challenged by the game's deepest RF fences in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 78.1-mph in the last 7 days. In the last week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Alec Marsh. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Oswaldo Cabrera's true offensive ability to be a .301, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .040 difference between that mark and his actual .261 wOBA.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Alec Marsh. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Oswaldo Cabrera's true offensive ability to be a .301, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .040 difference between that mark and his actual .261 wOBA.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+148
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Massey stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Everson Pereira Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

E. Pereira
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Everson Pereira has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 91-mph EV.

Everson Pereira

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Everson Pereira has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 91-mph EV.

Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Pratto
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Nick Pratto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nick Pratto has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Nick Pratto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Nick Pratto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nick Pratto has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-186
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-186
Projection Rating

Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Gleyber Torres in today's game. Gleyber Torres has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest RF fences today. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Gleyber Torres has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 14 days. Gleyber Torres has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph dropping to 87.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Gleyber Torres in today's game. Gleyber Torres has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest RF fences today. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Gleyber Torres has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 14 days. Gleyber Torres has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph dropping to 87.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Drew Waters's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Drew Waters will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Drew Waters's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Drew Waters will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°.

Nelson Velazquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velazquez
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Nelson Velazquez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Nelson Velazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Nelson Velazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nelson Velazquez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 89°. Nelson Velazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 90°. Anthony Volpe has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.6-mph. Anthony Volpe has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .207 rate is a fair amount lower than his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #3 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather of the day at 90°. Anthony Volpe has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.6-mph. Anthony Volpe has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .207 rate is a fair amount lower than his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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