SNY, Bally Sports Network

Detroit @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Vierling
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Matt Vierling's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Vierling is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Vierling's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Vierling is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Spencer Torkelson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Spencer Torkelson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Riley Greene meets a tough challenge today. Riley Greene has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Riley Greene meets a tough challenge today. Riley Greene has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Hitting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, Jeff McNeil will not have the upper hand in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Hitting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, Jeff McNeil will not have the upper hand in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Francisco Alvarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Francisco Alvarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jake Rogers usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jake Rogers usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 11th-best infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 11th-best infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Canha
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mark Canha is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mark Canha is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Brett Baty's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brett Baty has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Tarik Skubal will have the handedness advantage over Brett Baty in today's game. Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Brett Baty's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brett Baty has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Tarik Skubal will have the handedness advantage over Brett Baty in today's game. Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best batter in the game. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best batter in the game. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.

Parker Meadows Total Hits Props • Detroit

P. Meadows
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Parker Meadows is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Parker Meadows has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Parker Meadows hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Parker Meadows

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Parker Meadows is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Hitting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Parker Meadows has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Parker Meadows hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. McKinstry
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Zach McKinstry has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Zach McKinstry has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Jose Quintana will have the handedness advantage over Kerry Carpenter in today's matchup.

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Jose Quintana will have the handedness advantage over Kerry Carpenter in today's matchup.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Taylor
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Tyrone Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Tyrone Taylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Hitting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a tough matchup today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Hitting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have a tough matchup today. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

DJ Stewart Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Stewart
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, D.J. Stewart will have a tough matchup today. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

DJ Stewart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Batting from the same side that Tarik Skubal throws from, D.J. Stewart will have a tough matchup today. D.J. Stewart will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

Starling Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Starling Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Starling Marte's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Starling Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Gio Urshela Total Hits Props • Detroit

G. Urshela
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°.

Gio Urshela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Baez
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Kelly
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Carson Kelly hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 44°. Carson Kelly hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast