Bally Sports Network

Miami @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-189
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-189
Projection Rating

Extreme flyball bats like Josh Bell are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Josh Bell is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#2-best of all teams today). Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Josh Bell

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Extreme flyball bats like Josh Bell are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Josh Bell is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#2-best of all teams today). Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

L. Arraez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

In today's game, Luis Arraez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.4% rate (97th percentile). The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

In today's game, Luis Arraez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.4% rate (97th percentile). The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Under
-263
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Under
-263
Projection Rating

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today. Alec Burleson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today. Alec Burleson has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Projection Rating

In today's matchup, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.4% rate (90th percentile).

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

In today's matchup, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.4% rate (90th percentile).

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Bryan De La Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Bryan De La Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Ivan Herrera's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Ivan Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ivan Herrera's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Ivan Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami

T. Anderson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Tim Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Chisholm Jr.
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.

Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Miami

C. Bethancourt
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Christian Bethancourt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Christian Bethancourt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Christian Bethancourt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sanchez
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Victor Scott will have an edge in today's matchup. Victor Scott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Victor Scott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Meyer throws from, Victor Scott will have an edge in today's matchup. Victor Scott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the worst among all the teams on the slate today. Victor Scott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Gordon
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-263
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-263
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nick Gordon will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

Nick Gordon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nick Gordon will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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