MLBN, SNLA, Bally Sports Network

Los Angeles @ Minnesota props

Target Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Will Smith Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

W. Smith
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Chris Paddack will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith in today's matchup. Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Smith today. In the last two weeks, Will Smith's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

Will Smith

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Chris Paddack will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith in today's matchup. Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Smith today. In the last two weeks, Will Smith's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

In today's matchup, Freddie Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.4% rate (80th percentile). Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddie Freeman today.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

In today's matchup, Freddie Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.4% rate (80th percentile). Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddie Freeman today.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough matchup in today's game. Mookie Betts pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts in today's game.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Batting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough matchup in today's game. Mookie Betts pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts in today's game.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

B. Buxton
designated hitter DH • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Byron Buxton will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Byron Buxton will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

G. Lux
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack today. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Gavin Lux

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack today. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

C. Taylor
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Chris Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Margot
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Manuel Margot's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manuel Margot is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Manuel Margot will hold that advantage today.

Manuel Margot

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Manuel Margot's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manuel Margot is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Manuel Margot will hold that advantage today.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 10th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Teoscar Hernandez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past two weeks.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 10th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Teoscar Hernandez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past two weeks.

Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota

E. Julien
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Edouard Julien will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage today.

Edouard Julien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Edouard Julien is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Bobby Miller throws from, Edouard Julien will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage today.

Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Miranda
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jose Miranda will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jose Miranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jose Miranda will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Alex Kirilloff will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alex Kirilloff will hold that advantage in today's game.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Kirilloff in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Alex Kirilloff will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Alex Kirilloff will hold that advantage in today's game.

Austin Barnes Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

A. Barnes
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Austin Barnes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Max Muncy is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Over the past two weeks, Max Muncy has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 23.5° angle.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Max Muncy is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Over the past two weeks, Max Muncy has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 23.5° angle.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, James Outman will have an edge today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, James Outman will have an edge today. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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