Bally Sports Network, NBC Bay Area

San Francisco @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Diaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The #4 park in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. Batting from the same side that Keaton Winn throws from, Yandy Diaz will not have the upper hand today. Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Keaton Winn. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Yandy Diaz has shown some bad exit velocity stats recently, averaging just 85.4-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #4 park in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. Batting from the same side that Keaton Winn throws from, Yandy Diaz will not have the upper hand today. Typically, bats like Yandy Diaz who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Keaton Winn. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Yandy Diaz has shown some bad exit velocity stats recently, averaging just 85.4-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.

Harold Ramirez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

H. Ramirez
designated hitter DH • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-263
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-263
Projection Rating

The #4 park in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. Keaton Winn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Harold Ramirez in today's game. Typically, hitters like Harold Ramirez who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Keaton Winn. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Harold Ramirez has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, notching a -11° angle on such balls over the past two weeks.

Harold Ramirez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #4 park in the game for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. Keaton Winn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Harold Ramirez in today's game. Typically, hitters like Harold Ramirez who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Keaton Winn. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Harold Ramirez has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, notching a -11° angle on such balls over the past two weeks.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • San Francisco

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Curtis Mead Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

C. Mead
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Curtis Mead will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Curtis Mead

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Curtis Mead will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Thairo Estrada pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Thairo Estrada pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Soler
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Palacios
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

Richie Palacios is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Keaton Winn throws from, Richie Palacios will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage in today's game.

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Richie Palacios is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Keaton Winn throws from, Richie Palacios will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Tyler Alexander will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Conforto today.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field fences in MLB. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Tyler Alexander will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Conforto today.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Patrick Bailey pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Patrick Bailey pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Isaac Paredes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Keaton Winn who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Isaac Paredes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Keaton Winn who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

A. Rosario
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage today.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage today.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caballero
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Matt Chapman has exhibited some good exit velocity indicators recently, averaging 103.1-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Matt Chapman has exhibited some good exit velocity indicators recently, averaging 103.1-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks.

Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Rortvedt
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Ben Rortvedt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keaton Winn in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today.

Ben Rortvedt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Ben Rortvedt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keaton Winn in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the same side that Tyler Alexander throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have a tough challenge in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the same side that Tyler Alexander throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have a tough challenge in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Tyler Alexander will have the handedness advantage over LaMonte Wade Jr. in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Tyler Alexander will have the handedness advantage over LaMonte Wade Jr. in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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