SNP, NBCSP

Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The #7 park in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 6th-lowest level on the schedule today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #7 park in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 6th-lowest level on the schedule today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-204
Projection Rating

The #7 park in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 6th-lowest level on the schedule today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #7 park in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 6th-lowest level on the schedule today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Projection Rating

The #7 park in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 6th-lowest level on the schedule today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Ke'Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, notching a -8.5° angle on such balls in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #7 park in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 6th-lowest level on the schedule today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Ke'Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, notching a -8.5° angle on such balls in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's game. Brandon Marsh has displayed some good exit velocity metrics of late, averaging 103.9-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's game. Brandon Marsh has displayed some good exit velocity metrics of late, averaging 103.9-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

O. Cruz
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Oneil Cruz has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, posting a 23° angle on such balls in the past 14 days.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Oneil Cruz has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, posting a 23° angle on such balls in the past 14 days.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage today.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Triolo
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Jared Triolo is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Jared Triolo will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup.

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Jared Triolo is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Jared Triolo will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Whit Merrifield will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Whit Merrifield will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an edge in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an edge in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Nick Castellanos's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Nick Castellanos will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nick Castellanos's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Nick Castellanos will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand today. Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand today. Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Connor Joe is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Connor Joe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Connor Joe is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Connor Joe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
designated hitter DH • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Andrew McCutchen will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Andrew McCutchen has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 45° angle.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Andrew McCutchen will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Andrew McCutchen has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 45° angle.

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have an advantage today. Michael A. Taylor has displayed some good exit velocity indicators of late, averaging 99.5-mph on his flyballs in the last 14 days.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Michael A. Taylor will have an advantage today. Michael A. Taylor has displayed some good exit velocity indicators of late, averaging 99.5-mph on his flyballs in the last 14 days.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Henry Davis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Henry Davis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

E. Olivares
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Edward Olivares is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Edward Olivares will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Edward Olivares pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Edward Olivares has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 26° angle.

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Edward Olivares is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Edward Olivares will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. Edward Olivares pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Edward Olivares has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 26° angle.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast