Bally Sports Network, NESN

Los Angeles @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 53°. Jarren Duran's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 83.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 76.7-mph over the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal figure of -8.6°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-50°) over the past 14 days. In the last 14 days, Jarren Duran has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 53°. Jarren Duran's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 83.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 76.7-mph over the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal figure of -8.6°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-50°) over the past 14 days. In the last 14 days, Jarren Duran has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 53°. Griffin Canning will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler O'Neill in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Tyler O'Neill's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.7% down to 0%.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 53°. Griffin Canning will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler O'Neill in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Tyler O'Neill's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.7% down to 0%.

Anthony Rendon Total Hits Props • LA Angels

A. Rendon
third base 3B • LA Angels
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 53°. Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Anthony Rendon will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Rendon in today's game. Anthony Rendon has been cold recently, putting up a .200 wOBA over the past 14 days.

Anthony Rendon

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 53°. Considering Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Anthony Rendon will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Rendon in today's game. Anthony Rendon has been cold recently, putting up a .200 wOBA over the past 14 days.

Nolan Schanuel Total Hits Props • LA Angels

N. Schanuel
first base 1B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Given Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Nolan Schanuel will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Nolan Schanuel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Given Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Nolan Schanuel will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Mickey Moniak Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Moniak
right outfield RF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against Cooper Criswell in today's game... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Mickey Moniak

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against Cooper Criswell in today's game... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a huge platoon split. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Aaron Hicks Total Hits Props • LA Angels

A. Hicks
center outfield CF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

Aaron Hicks is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Aaron Hicks pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Aaron Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Aaron Hicks is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Aaron Hicks pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Taylor Ward Total Hits Props • LA Angels

T. Ward
left outfield LF • LA Angels
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 53°. Because of Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Taylor Ward will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Taylor Ward

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games today at 53°. Because of Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Taylor Ward will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge today. Masataka Yoshida has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge today. Masataka Yoshida has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Logan O'Hoppe Total Hits Props • LA Angels

L. O'Hoppe
catcher C • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Logan O'Hoppe has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .417.

Logan O'Hoppe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Logan O'Hoppe has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .417.

Mike Trout Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Trout
center outfield CF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in the majors. Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Mike Trout hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Mike Trout

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in the majors. Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Mike Trout hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Triston Casas will have the upper hand today. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Triston Casas will have the upper hand today. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Zach Neto Total Hits Props • LA Angels

Z. Neto
shortstop SS • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Zach Neto has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Zach Neto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Zach Neto has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's matchup. David Hamilton has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. David Hamilton will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's matchup. David Hamilton has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. David Hamilton will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Reese McGuire will have an edge today. Reese McGuire hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Reese McGuire will have an edge today. Reese McGuire hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brandon Drury Total Hits Props • LA Angels

B. Drury
second base 2B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Brandon Drury

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Griffin Canning in today's matchup. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 26.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Griffin Canning in today's matchup. Enmanuel Valdez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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