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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 26, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
-124 
|
o7.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +135 
|
|
4.04 |
+120 
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -145 
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5+226
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
+125 
|
o8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -177 
|
|
4.85 |
-125
|
u9.0 -105
|
-1.5 +158 
|
Colorado
- Under is 5-0-2 in Gordons last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Rockies are 6-0 in Gordons last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Gordons last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Gordons last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
+110
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.78 |
-115
|
u9.0 -117
|
-1.5 +165
|
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Astros are 7-1 in Lamberts last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Lamberts last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
NY Yankees
- Under is 12-1 in Yankees last 13 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 11-1 in Yankees last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
o0.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
+140
|
o8.5 -110
|
+3.0 -400
|
|
4.93 |
-148
|
u8.5 +100
|
-3.0 +250
|
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 games following a win.
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Royals last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Blue Jays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+113)
o1.5+113
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.36 |
-145
|
o8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
4.19 |
+140
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -125
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Stocks last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Stocks last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Stocks last 4 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+156)
o0.5+156
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.54 |
-119
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +136
|
|
4.83 |
+116
|
u9.0 -139
|
+1.5 -150
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sasakis last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
o0.5+212
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
+114
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.50 |
-119
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +176
|
Texas
- Rangers are 7-0 in Gores last 7 starts on grass.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in Burkes last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
o1.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
-105
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.35 |
+101
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 13-3 in Orioles last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0-1 in McGreevys last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.91 |
-130
|
o10.0 -120
|
+2.0 -500
|
|
4.93 |
+126
|
u10.5 -110
|
-2.0 +285
|
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-3 in Prielipps last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Prielipps last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Athletics
- Under is 3-0-1 in Ginns last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Ginns last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+183
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.75 |
+105
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
|
4.72 |
-111
|
u9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 on grass.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 overall.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Nationals last 9 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.24 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 road games.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.55 |
+136
|
o8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
|
4.91 |
-145
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 games as an underdog.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as a road underdog.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.68 |
-105
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
|
4.19 |
+101
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.68 |
-210
|
o7.0 -115
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
|
3.63 |
+200
|
u7.5 -125
|
+1.5 +105
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Over is 7-0 in Manaeas last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.95 |
-102
|
o7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +180
|
|
|
4.06 |
+101
|
u7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -190
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.01 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
3.68 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 10-2 in Diamondbacks last 12 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games as a home favorite.
BOS
@
MIA
Wed, Aug 26 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+890)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
How about getting the hottest hitter in baseball at a near-900 price? Mickey Gasper has five home runs and leads MLB in slugging over the last two weeks. The power surge is obviously unsustainable, but I'm along for the ride until the wheels fall off. He went deep twice yesterday and has hit all five of his homers since being recalled from the minors. He's a switch hitter who crushes right-handed pitching and gets a right-handed Ryan Gusto, who has the fourth-worst HR/9 among today's starters dating back to last season. The Marlins' bullpen is also gassed after using seven pitchers yesterday and being without any strong left-handed options today. Back the heater.
Total RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Heriberto Hernandez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 19% in the last two weeks.. This season, Heriberto Hernandez has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 93.6 mph mark.. Using Statcast data, Heriberto Hernandez is in the 76th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .330.
COL
@
WAS
Wed, Aug 26 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total Home Runs (+321)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
CJ Abrams has the fourth-best probability to go deep today, and his home run price at +300 or better is a buy for me. He gets the best home run matchup in Colorado's Tanner Gordon, who has the worst HR/9 among all starters today since the beginning of last season. Gordon is a fringe starter and is only in the rotation because the Rockies released Michael Lorenzen. As a starter (six games), he owns a 1.028 OPS against, with seven homers allowed in just 28+ innings. Batters are killing him the second time through the order, slashing .383/.453/.617, but even in the first plate appearance, hitters have a .673 slugging against Gordon. The Nationals could put up seven runs today, and all their starters are live on the longball, but I'll take a soon-to-be 30-HR hitter at a price on the good side of three dollars. Nationals Park also ranks as the third-best park for home runs today, per Ball Park Pal.
Total Bases
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Nationals Park has the 8th-least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's game.. Dylan Crews has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 94.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.
HOU
@
NYY
Wed, Aug 26 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+296)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Elmer Rodríguez does not have a pitch that survives contact.
His four-seamer, thrown 22.6% of the time, has allowed a .538 slugging percentage with a 63.6% hard-hit rate and a .668 xSLG, and his sinker yields a .333 average and .409 xwOBA on 41.5% usage with only a 14.5% whiff rate. A 13.3% walk rate against a 12.0% strikeout rate means those pitches show up in hitters' counts all night. Yordan Alvarez is the bat in this lineup built to end an at-bat with one swing
Total
o8.5 (-120)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I like the Over 8.5 to -130.
Young Yankees arm Elmer Rodríguez has averaged just 4.25 innings across his four big-league starts, which could leave five-plus innings for a bullpen that has started to accumulate some workload. Rodríguez also brings real contact risk while he is on the mound: his four-seamer has been hit at a 63.6% hard-hit rate with a .668 xSLG despite a 22.6% usage rate.
Lambert is the more fly-ball-oriented starter, ranking in the 30th percentile in ground-ball rate at 38.9% with a 33.0% fly-ball rate. I still expect him to limit barrels, but that batted-ball profile leaves enough home-run upside for New York to contribute. Houston should do most of the scoring damage, and the Yankees only need to provide enough support for this total to get over 8.5.
KC
@
TOR
Wed, Aug 26 • 7:07 PM ET
Walks
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Walks (+205)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Jays wanted nothing to do with Bobby Witt Jr. yesterday asd 63% of his pitches were outside the zone. He finished with two walks, with one being a free IBB from a lefty bullpen arm. The Jays are happy with throwing a lefty at Vinnie Pasqunatino, who is hitting behind Witt. It worked yesterday, and with a bullpen day on tap for Toronto, I'm expecting the same treatment here. The fair price for this walk is around +145/+150, and two walks is also live with the Jays needing this win in a big way.
Total Home Runs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total Home Runs (+675)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Alejandro Kirk is running on a 12-game hit streak in games he's started, which includes three homers and two doubles. I'll give him the benefit of the doubt against a contact pitcher who throws a sinker 38% of the time - a pitch Kirk owns a .333 average against this season. Let's see him run into one tonight.
MIL
@
NYM
Wed, Aug 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
Projection 0.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage against Dustin May today... and even better, May has a large platoon split.. Brett Baty has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. There has been a significant improvement in Brett Baty's launch angle from last year's 5.7° to 12.4° this season.
Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The #4 stadium in baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. The weather forecast expects the 5th-most favorable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Dustin May will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Robert Jr. in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering May's large platoon split.
LAD
@
ATL
Wed, Aug 26 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Freddie Freeman is one guy who will benefit from seeing a lot of fastballs and splitters. He has feasted on those two pitches, hitting .374 against righties with a .228 ISO and .602 SLG.
Only one bullpen has given up barrels at a higher clip than the Atlanta Braves in August so it’s not as if Freeman’s home run chances will tank when Smith-Shawyer exits the game.
Play to +430.
Total
u8.5 (+100)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Roki Sasaki has allowed just a .219 average over his past six starts while ranking in the 86th percentile in barrel rate.
AJ Smith-Shawyer is still trying to find his groove after recovering from Tommy John surgery. The good news for him is the Los Angeles Dodgers have struggled with the fastball-splitter combination, hitting .225 against those two pitches with a .139 ISO over the past 30 days.
Play to -115.
TEX
@
CHW
Wed, Aug 26 • 7:40 PM ET
Walks
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Walks (+123)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Miguel Vargas has been one of the most patient hitters in baseball lately, leading the league in walk rate over his last 10 games at nearly 30%. Even across his last 15 games, he ranks third at 23.3%. Tonight, he draws MacKenzie Gore, who I already love to go over his strikeout prop. Gore has not been walking many batters lately, but the Rangers bullpen has, posting an 11.1% walk rate over their last 21 games and an 8.8% rate against right handed hitters on the road. Vargas is worth a look above +120, but take this down to +110.
Strikeouts Thrown
Sean Burke u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+124)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
This shows as the best value, per the projections, of all the strikeout props today. The Chicago starter projects for 88 pitches and 5.4 total Ks, making this a plus-money Under a buy to -110 or better. Sean Burke has recorded four or fewer Ks in three of his last four starts and has plenty of arms available in the pen today. He's allowed 4+ runs in back-to-back starts for just the second time this year, while his leash averages 91 pitches. His workload could also come into question late in the season with the White Sox pushing for a playoff run. This is a bet where I trust the projection inputs, and the plus-money price makes this a great bet on a better-than-50% probable outcome.
BAL
@
STL
Wed, Aug 26 • 7:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Coby Mayo has big-time power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (28.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy doesn't generate many whiffs (14th percentile K%) — great news for Mayo.
Total RBIs
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Samuel Basallo will have an advantage today.
MIN
@
ATH
Wed, Aug 26 • 9:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.02
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the best ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 104°.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the best ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 104°.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
