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Kansas City @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-244
Projection Rating

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-coldest weather on the slate at 52°. Alec Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Starling Marte today.

Starling Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-coldest weather on the slate at 52°. Alec Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Starling Marte today.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Brett Baty's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brett Baty is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brett Baty's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brett Baty is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an edge in today's game. In the last 14 days, Bobby Witt Jr. has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .482.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an edge in today's game. In the last 14 days, Bobby Witt Jr. has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .482.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeff McNeil's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Maikel Garcia will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Maikel Garcia will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Hunter Renfroe will have an advantage today. Hunter Renfroe pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Hunter Renfroe will have an advantage today. Hunter Renfroe pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Pete Alonso pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.

Omar Narváez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narváez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Marsh today. Omar Narvaez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Omar Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Omar Narváez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Marsh today. Omar Narvaez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Omar Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Kansas City

G. Hampson
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an advantage in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Vinnie Pasquantino hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Vinnie Pasquantino hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Salvador Perez will have an edge in today's game. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Salvador Perez will have an edge in today's game. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Nelson Velazquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velazquez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Nelson Velazquez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nelson Velazquez will have the upper hand in today's game. Nelson Velazquez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Over the past two weeks, Nelson Velazquez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .393.

Nelson Velazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nelson Velazquez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nelson Velazquez will have the upper hand in today's game. Nelson Velazquez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Over the past two weeks, Nelson Velazquez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .393.

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Loftin
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nick Loftin will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Among all parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Nick Loftin will have an advantage in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Joey Wendle Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. Wendle
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Joey Wendle will have the upper hand today. Joey Wendle has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Joey Wendle will hold that advantage today.

Joey Wendle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Batting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Joey Wendle will have the upper hand today. Joey Wendle has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Joey Wendle will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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