Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 20, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
ATH
@
LAA
Tue, May 19 • 9:38 PM ET
Jorge Soler o0.5 Total Home Runs (+453)
It’s no secret that Jorge Soler has built his entire swing path around crushing left-handed pitching, and that’s exactly what he’s done throughout his career. Almost every season, his OPS against lefties is significantly higher than it is against right-handed pitching. Not only is Jacob Lopez a left-hander, but he’s also one who has been giving up plenty of home runs to right-handed bats this season. He’s allowed six homers over his last three starts, and eight of the 10 home runs he’s surrendered this year have come against right-handed hitters. Lopez relies heavily on a slider that breaks into Soler’s swing path. If he doesn’t bury it at the back foot and leaves it anywhere over the middle of the plate, Soler has the power to send it into the seats. This prop is trading at +453, but I price it closer to +360, so there’s solid value on the number.
Jo Adell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)
If you're betting home runs today, the Halos should be on your card. Jacob Lopez ranks as one of the worst starters on the board with a bottom-50 HR/FB rate and the sixth-worst xFIP among MLB starters. He has allowed multiple home runs in three straight games, right-handed hitters own eight of the 10 homers he has surrendered this year, and he’s backed by a bullpen that gives up home runs at a bottom-seven rate. There were a few names worth considering, but I’m landing on Jo Adell, who should hit higher in the order today against the lefty. All six of his home runs this season have come against southpaws, along with a .993 OPS. Mike Trout (+360) and Zach Neto (+460) were two other names I looked at in a great matchup with 75-degree temperatures and winds blowing out at Angel Stadium.
CHW
@
SEA
Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
o1.5 Team Total (-115)
In their last 12 games away from home against right-handed pitching, the White Sox own a 116 wRC+, .339 wOBA, and .778 OPS, while posting an 8.9% walk rate, 40.7% hard-hit rate, and 14% barrel rate. Not to mention, this team ranks third in first-five scoring on the road, putting up 3.03 runs per first five innings.
LAD
@
SD
Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
u8.5 (-115)
Over the last week, opponents are hitting .194 with .567 OPS against the L.A. Dodgers and are collectively producing at 37% below league average at the plate. The pen is well-rested with just two relievers throwing a total of 19 pitches over the last two days. The San Diego Padres have been almost as good, allowing .208 average and .575 OPS over the last two weeks, producing opposing offense 33% below league average. The San Diego bullpen is a little more fatigued than the Dodgers’, which could be an issue if Griffin Canning struggles early.
LAD (-155)
Prior to the shutout loss, the Los Angeles Dodgers had scored 36 runs in four games. Shohei Ohtani appears to be shaking off an early season slump. He went 2-for-3 Monday and is 8 for his last 16. They’ll try to keep it going against Griffin Canning and his 10.64 ERA. Dodgers pitching has allowed just six runs in the last six games and they'll go with Emmet Sheehan on the mound tonight who has won his last two starts.
SF
@
AZ
Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
BOS
@
KC
Wed, May 20 • 7:40 PM ET
KC (-120)
Michael Wacha gives the Royals the edge they need to score a win at home. He's given up just five runs over 20 innings in his last three starts, including just two runs in 14 innings over his last two home starts. It helps that the Red Sox are also 29th in runs per game.
LAD
@
SD
Wed, May 20 • 8:40 PM ET
LAD (-167)
Shohei Ohtani takes the mound on Wednesday after throwing seven scoreless innings against the Giants in his last start. That adds to the fact that his ERA sits at a sterling 0.82 through seven starts this season. He hasn't gotten much run support, but this Dodgers offense ranks third in runs per game, so the tide will turn soon enough.
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